The Goalscorer Gamble: Negredo will punish Newcastle

Will Alvaro Negredo be pointing Manchester City towards the top of the Premier League with a win over Newcastle?
Will Alvaro Negredo be pointing Manchester City towards the top of the Premier League with a win over Newcastle?

After a successful return last week, Dan Fitch looks to repeat the trick with five more goalscorer tips and fancies Manchester City's Alvaro Negredo to strike early against Newcastle...

"The Brazilian/Spaniard hasn’t scored since the La Liga season got back underway but has 19 league goals in total, just one short of Cristiano Ronaldo."

Back Costa to add to his tally at odds of 2.56/4.

The Goalscorer Gamble started 2014 with a bang last weekend, as we trousered a healthy profit.

Three of my selections came in. Jay Rodriguez and Pedro were both on target, before Kris Commons scored Celtic's last goal at odds of 5.004/1. Five £10 singles would have brought home a £43.50 profit, while a £10 treble on the successful trio would have seen you pocket £224.74.

So it's with a jaunt in our step that we approach this weekend's Premier League fixtures. We start with a move that has backfired for many a manager in the past, by showing faith in Tottenham's Emmanuel Adebayor.

Spurs face Crystal Palace today and though Tony Pulis' side have improved defensively since he took over, they aren't beyond a good spanking yet, as their recent 3-0 home defeat to Newcastle proved.

Tottenham also have a new manager and in the four games under Tim Sherwood his team have scored nine goals at an average of 2.25 a game. Adebayor has scored three of those goals and I'm backing him at likely odds of 2.56/4 to find the net.

Another in-form striker is Manchester City's Alvaro Negredo. The Spaniard has not scored in his last two Premier League appearances but has scored four goals in City's most recent two cup games, including a midweek hat-trick against West Ham.

This bought Negredo's total for the season to a highly respectable 18 goals from 29 games. He's adapted quickly to English football and I fancy him to score the first goal against Newcastle at 5.69/2, in a potentially tough game that City will be taking very seriously.

The biggest game played across Europe today is surely the clash between Atletico Madrid and Barcelona. Only goal difference separates the two sides and I'd expect goals from both teams in this one.

There has only been two games this season in which Atletico have failed to score and that looks like good news for their talisman Diego Costa. The Brazilian/Spaniard hasn't scored since the La Liga season got back underway but has 19 league goals in total, just one short of Cristiano Ronaldo.

It's a remarkable record and the likely odds of 2.56/4 for Costa to add to his tally looks very generous against a Barcelona defence that is far from watertight.

If Costa looks likely to challenge for the honour of being top scorer in Spain, it could be Carlos Tevez that does likewise in Italy.

The Juventus striker has 11 league goals this season, making him Serie A's second top scorer after Giuseppe Rossi, who suffered a serious injury last weekend after I backed/cursed him.

This weekend Juve travel to face a Cagliari side that are unbeaten in seven. Five of those games have ended as draws and if anyone is likely to keep it tight against Juventus it's Cagliari. Tevez could be the man to make the difference, at a likely price of 5.59/2 to score the last goal.

Finally, after our success in Scotland last weekend, we return to the Premiership for Sunday's game between Inverness and Dundee United. The two teams are level on points but Cally hold the advantage with two games in hand.

They will fancy themselves at home against a visiting side that have conceded 11 goals in their last four league games and picked up only one point. Inverness are also without a win in four, but Billy McKay still tops the Scottish goalscoring charts with 14 league goals.

There should be goals for both sides in this one and with Dundee United's defence looking wobbly, the likely price of 2.35/4 for McKay to score looks too big.

Recommended Bets
Best Bet: Back Negredo to score first at 5.69/2
Back Adebayor to score at 2.56/4
Back Costa to score at 2.56/4
Back Tevez to score last at 5.59/2
Back McKay to score at 2.35/4

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