The Goalscorer Gamble: Back Suarez to bash Hammers early

Dan Fitch
05 April 2014

Can Luis Suarez score again for Liverpool when they face West Ham?

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Dan Fitch returns with five more goalscorer tips and fancies Luis Suarez to open the scoring when Liverpool face West Ham...

"Uwe Rosler’s team are one of the form sides in the division but have conceded in each of their last six games."

Back Ross McCormack to add to that run at 3.39/4.

The Goalscorer Gamble returns after a week long hiatus, in which I enjoyed a holiday built upon my winnings from my last column.

With a couple of weeks of abject failure in the bank, I went back to basics, picking short-priced sure things that delivered as advertised - with Luis Suarez at 1.855/6, Cristiano Ronaldo 1.981/1 and Wayne Rooney to score first at 6.511/2, all coming home.

A £10 treble on that dream strike-force would have returned a profit of £228, which buys quite a lot of cold drinks when you're sitting poolside. It's back to work today but that doesn't mean that we have to accept reality. Let's chase the dream of a profit together.

We start in the Premier League with Manchester United's trip to Newcastle. With both Wayne Rooney and Robin van Persie injured, David Moyes must hope that his back up strikers can deliver.

Danny Welbeck had a great game against Bayern Munich in midweek and should get the shout over the rarely-used Javier Hernandez. United are the best away team in the Premier League and should win against a Newcastle side in poor form, so take a chance on Welbeck at chunky odds of 3.1511/5 to score.

We stay in the Premier League for Liverpool's trip to West Ham. Brendan Rodgers' team guarantee goals and should score plenty against a West Ham side that have assured safety.

The man in form for Liverpool right now is Luis Suarez. The Uruguayan has scored six goals in his last five games and is two away from equalling the record of 31 goals in a 38 game Premier League season, that is jointly held by Alan Shearer and Cristiano Ronaldo. Back him at 4.57/2 to score the first goal and get nearer that target.

If Suarez is the form goalscorer in the Premier League then the man who holds that crown in the Championship is the Leeds' striker Ross McCormack. The Scottish striker hasn't let the current mess at his club get in the way of his personal form, scoring 27 goals this season.

Leeds' form has collapsed of late but McCormack has carried on scoring. He's hit four goals in Leeds' last five outings, even though his side have lost four of those games.

That's good news for us, considering that Leeds are facing Wigan today. Uwe Rosler's team are one of the form sides in the division but have conceded in each of their last six games. Back McCormack to add to that run at 3.39/4.

Another good team that are currently in the habit of conceding goals are Real Madrid, who have let in six goals in their last league three games. They've lost two of those matches and with it their position at the top of La Liga.

This weekend they face a difficult trip to a Real Sociedad side that still harbour aspirations of qualifying for the Champions League. The hosts have only lost one of their last 12 games and recently enjoyed a 3-1 win over Barcelona.

Antoine Griezmann scored that day and has 15 goals to his name this season. The French wide man has made a habit of scoring against the big boys this season, hitting the target in two games against Barcelona and in the corresponding league fixture with Real Madrid. Back him at likely odds of 10.09/1 to score the last goal.

Finally we head to the Bundesliga to examine one of the current mysteries of football. Adrian Ramos has scored 16 goals in the league this season, only one less than Germany's top scorer Mario Mandzukic.

The Colombian striker looks set to join Borussia Dortmund at the end of the season to replace Robert Lewandowski but for now plies his trade with Hertha Berlin. This weekend they face a Hoffenheim side that have not kept a clean sheet for 10 games, conceding 14 goals in their last five matches.

Ramos has earned this column plenty of money this season, because despite his goalscoring feats he continues to be overpriced. Against Hoffenheim's generous defence, Ramos will provide excellent value at a likely price of 2.757/4 to find the net.