The Daily Acca: Three or four goals in another Man City win

Kevin de Bruyne of Manchester City
Kevin de Bruyne has been the architect of plenty of Man City goals this season.
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We're starting the week by being ambitious and going for a 9/1 acca with a high-scoring Man City win over Stoke the headline act in Monday night's treble. Jamie Pacheco talks us through the three selections...

"I don’t think this will be a total thrashing. 3-0 is a possible score and given what I said about City not actually keeping that many clean sheets, 2-1 or 3-1 wouldn’t surprise me either. We can cover all those possibilities by going with a City win and three or four goals in the game."

Bet 1: Back Manchester City to win and 3 or 4 goals in the game @ 6/4 (KO 20:00)

We shouldn't read too much into Manchester City's defeat at home to Basel in the Champions League because the side that played that day was very much a reserve one. And despite not always seeming like that's the case, it reminded us that those City boys are human after all. But it did also highlight the point that City always look like they might concede one even when winning relatively comfortably.

With Sergio Aguero and Kevin de Bruyne restored to the City starting line-up, I can't see anything other than a City win. In their last six games, Paul Lambert's men have admittedly only conceded more than one goal on one occasion (Bournemouth beat them 2-1) but then again no side in the country has greater potential to score goals against you than Pep Guardiola's boys so this could be the match where their defence is properly tested.

I don't think this will be a total thrashing. 3-0 is a possible score and given what I said about City not actually keeping that many clean sheets, 2-1 or 3-1 wouldn't surprise me either. We can cover all those possibilities by going with a City win and three or four goals in the game.


Bet 2: Back no in both teams to score @ evens (KO 20:00)

Alaves and Betis both have a curious habit of being involved in matches where it's either them scoring or their opponents but rarely both.

Just 35% of their home matches has seen both teams score. It's now five of the last seven where at least one side has kept a clean sheet when they've been hosts.

And if we were to look at how they perform on the road, the number only goes up a smidgeon to 38%.

Betis' away games follow a similar pattern. In just 30% of their matches away from the Estadio Benito Villamarin have both teams netted and it's happened just twice in the last nine on enemy territory.

So all stats point to the fact there's considerable value about going 'no' on both teams to score at evens.


Bet 3: Back 'yes' in both teams to score in Chaves v Sporting Lisbon @ evens (KO 19:00)

Sporting Lisbon are in stark contrast to Alaves and Betis as a side who can normally be relied on for a 'both teams to score' wager. That's hardly surprising.

Their strength is definitely in attack where Bas Dost and Gelson Fernandes have been excellent all season while their centre-backs lack in pace what they have in terms of experience and are vulnerable to quick breaks.

It's resulted in six of their last seven away games in the Portuguese Superliga seeing both teams score. Monday's hosts Chaves don't have numbers quite as high as that but it's still 50% of home games his season that have been devoid of a clean sheet so all in all, the numbers are in our favour.

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