The Big Wednesday Multiple: The 16/1 Edition

I've Forlan in love with the Over 2.5 goals market
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It's that time of the week where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections: 

"Back Orebro @ 1.4 (2/5);

Back Sogndal @ 4.3 (10/3);

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Brazil v Uruguay @ 1.55 (11/20);

Back Under 2.5 Goals in FC Viikingit v AC Oulu @ 1.8 (4/5);

The Multiple pays approximately 16.8 (16/1)"

Bet 1: Orebro (HOME) @ 1.4 (2/5) 

We begin in Sweden for a Superettan match-up between top of the table Orebro and Ljungskile. It should be a straightforward victory for the leaders and while the odds reflect that, it looks like the best chance of a home win today.

Orebro were relegated from the Allsvenskan last season but they've made a great start to going back up having won nine of their opening 13 matches and losing just one. 

They were held last time out at GAIS to a 1-1 draw but they are back on home soil this evening - a place where they have a 100% record this term. Not only have they won every match though, they've conceded just one goal in seven matches - scoring two or more on six occasions themselves.

Ljungskile aren't doing too badly themselves and they ended a run of three straight defeats with a 1-0 win over Orgryte last time out. This is a completely different test though and their last three away fixtures have all ended in losses.

This is a home banker and the odds of 1.4 (2/5) are actually quite generous.

Bet 2: Sogndal (AWAY) @ 4.3 (10/3) 

Our away victory isn't one that's expected by the Betfair markets but I think that Sogndal are massively overpriced for their trip to Valerenga in the fourth round of the Norwegian Cup.
Sogndal are on a roll at present having won three of their last four in all competitions and drawing the other one. That run has enabled them to climb to eighth in the league and progress through to this round of the cup. They've actually been in good form for some time now as they've lost just one of nine since the beginning of May.

Jonas Olsson's team have won their last two on the road - including at the decent Haugesund - and while they suffered a narrow loss on this ground back in April, they'd won their previous two meetings with Valerenga.

Valerenga are actually unbeaten in four themselves but three of those were draws. They've been firing in the goals - 11 scored in that period - but their defence seems to have gone walkabout as they've let in 10 at the other end. 

The Bohemians have struggled at home of late - one win and two defeats in their last five outings - and they failed to beat the two sides who are currently bottom and second bottom in the table.

Sogndal are far from certainties, but they're definitely a value bet and worth including at the prices.

Bet 3: Brazil v Uruguay (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.55 (11/20) - Live on BBC3 at 20:00 GMT

It's Confederations Cup action now as Brazil take on Uruguay in the semi-finals. I find it impossible to not back goals when the Samba Boys are playing and today is no different.

The Brazilians sailed through their group with three straight victories. While the 2-0 win over Mexico didn't go over 2.5 goals last week, they made up for that in the 4-2 win against Italy on Saturday.

Neymar has lived up to his expectations and the Barcelona front man has scored in every match. Fred netted a brace against the Italians to restore some confidence following blanks against Japan and Mexico, and the defence looked quite shaky when up against decent opposition.

Uruguay haven't exactly impressed in this tournament to date but they've made it through, and given their quality, they are always a danger. Luis Suarez leads the way but it was actually the re-introduction of Diego Forlan into the side that galvanised Los Charrúas against Nigeria as Óscar Tabárez switched from a 4-4-2 to a 4-3-3.

While I don't really expect the Uruguayans to knock out Brazil, the trio of Suarez, Forlan and Cavani will cause plenty of problems and that should lead to over 2.5 goals comfortably coming in.

Bet 4: FC Viikingit v AC Oulu (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.8 (4/5)

We conclude with what is actually the first game to kick off in our multiple as FC Viikingit take on AC Oulu in what looks likely to be a low scoring affair.

The hosts have made a terrible start to the Ykkonen season over in Finland as they've mustered a mere six points from their opening nine fixtures. That's a poor return for a side who have consistently been there or thereabouts at the top since their relegation from the top flight in 2007.

Ilkka Jäntti's men are coming back to form though as they picked up four of those six points in their last two matches - against the sides who are first and second in the league. In their previous home game they beat Haka 1-0 and that scoreline meant that four of their five at Vuosaaren Urheilukenttä have gone under 2.5 goals.

AC Oulu are fifth in the table and have at least one game in hand over the top three. They've stuttered of late though and it's now four without victory for them - although they lost just one of those.

Rauno Ojanen's side have seen three of their four away fixtures go under 2.5 goals, with two going under 1.5 and the 0-0 draw with OPS actually going under 0.5. It's also interesting to note that the last time these teams met, the score was 1-1.

Recommended Multiple
Back Orebro @ 1.4 (2/5); Back Sogndal @ 4.3 (10/3); Back Over 2.5 Goals in Brazil v Uruguay @ 1.55 (11/20); Back Under 2.5 Goals in FC Viikingit v AC Oulu @ 1.8 (4/5); The Multiple pays approximately 16.8 (16/1)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

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