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The Big Wednesday Multiple: Copa Libertadores final to go to the wire

Will Bernard be wearing the red of Arsenal next season?

It's that time of the week where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections:

"Back Atletico MG @ 1.4 (2/5);

Back Helsingborgs @ 1.66 (4/6);

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Legia Warsaw v The New Saints @ 1.36 (4/11);

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Varnamo v Degerfors @ 2.05 (21/20);

The Multiple pays approximately 6.48 (11/2)"

Bet 1: Atletico MG (HOME) @ 1.4 (2/5) - Betfair Live Video @ 01:50 BST

We begin in Brazil as Atletico MG go into the second leg of the Copa Libertadores final looking to turn around a 2-0 defeat in Paraguay.

The Brazilians are no strangers to this situation as they faced this exact same task in the semis against Newell's Old Boys. They managed to win 2-0 at home thanks to goals from Arsenal target Bernard and a late strike from Guilherme - before sealing victory on penalties. 

Cuca's side is full of class players and if the front four of Jo, Bernard, Ronaldinho and Diego Tristan are on song then it's hard to rule out a 17th Brazilian win of South America's elite club competition.

Olimpia will be thinking that they can add to their successes in 1960, 1989 and 1991 though as they are in a cracking position of having a two goal advantage without having conceded an away goal. 

Ever Hugo Almeida will know that an away goal will mean that Mineiro will need at least four so while Olimpia may still the lift the trophy, Atletico MG can win the match.

The Paraguayans have lost two of their last three on the road in this competition and the other result was a 0-0 draw at Fluminense. I just can't see them holding off a rampant Atletico MG though and a home win looks highly likely.

Bet 2: Helsingborgs (AWAY) @ 1.66 (4/6) - Betfair Live Video @ 17:00 BST

Helsingborgs know that victory at Halmstads will see them go clear at the top of the Swedish Allsvenskan and I can't see them letting that opportunity slip by.

Halmstads were promoted to the top flight after finishing third in the Superttan last year. They've made a solid start to their campaign as while they're only 13th, they aren't in the relegation zone. 

Jens Gustafsson's side have lost two of their last four on home soil though and their solitary victory this season came against 14th placed Oster. They were beaten 2-0 by Hacken last time and they've also lost to Kalmar in front of their own fans.

Helsingborgs ended a run of three without a win in their last match and that should boost their confidence levels ahead of tonight's game. The Reds are undefeated on the road so far this term with a 50% win rate and their two most recent draws came at leaders Malmo and sixth placed Kalmar. 

These two last met in 2011 when Helsingborgs did the double over their opponents. We could be in for more of the same in 2013 and I'm quietly confident about today's away selection.

Bet 3: Legia Warsaw v The New Saints (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.36 (4/11)  

Our goal-fest comes from Poland as Legia Warsaw host TNS in the Champions League. The Welsh outfit actually took the lead in the first leg but the score finished 3-1 to the Poles and I envisage another convincing victory for them here.

It took three second half goals from Jan Urban's men to win the day at The Racecourse Ground last week but in the end they were good value for the win. They then followed that up with a 5-1 battering of Widzew Lodz back in domestic action on Saturday and added to the five they put past Slask Wroclaw on June 2nd, it's now 13 goals in 270 minutes for the reigning Polish champions.

The New Saints have only made the third qualifying round of this competition once and that was back in 2010. They're highly unlikely to repeat that success this year as they'll need at least three goals to do so.

I wouldn't rule out Carl Darlington's men of scoring one goal though as they are a high-scoring side and could possibly take advantage if the Poles show any complacency. That all points to over 2.5 and while the odds are short, they are certainly worth it.

Bet 4: Varnamo v Degerfors (Under 2.5 goals) @ 2.05 (21/20) 

Our final selection is another match from Sweden but this time in the Superettan. Varnamo have been struggling at home of late and with just one goal scored in their last three in front of their own fans, there appears to be massive value in backing under 2.5 goals at odds-against.

Varnamo are 13th in the table after their opening 14 fixtures and it's thanks to three wins and a draw in their last five that they're not floundering even further down. Seven of those 10 points came on their travels though and things have been far less rosy at home.

Sören Åkeby's side did beat Ljungskile 1-0 last time out at Finnvedsvallen but prior to that they'd suffered three defeats on the bounce. As far as the goals go, four of their half dozen on their own patch have gone under 2.5 - including their last three - which actually all went under 1.5.

Degerfors are on a roll right now and three consecutive wins has pushed them up to sixth. They have a game in hand over the teams above them and victory this evening would see them close the gap to the Play-off place to just three points.

Patrik Werner's men won 1-0 at rock bottom Brage in their last away fixture and while the three previous have all had at least four goals, the two prior to that both went under 2.5.

The recent head to heads point to a high scoring affair but there are reasons to believe that this one will be different, and at the prices, it is a cracking addition to the multiple.

Recommended Multiple
Back Atletico MG @ 1.4 (2/5); Back Helsingborgs @ 1.66 (4/6); Back Over 2.5 Goals in Legia Warsaw v The New Saints @ 1.36 (4/11); Back Under 2.5 Goals in Varnamo v Degerfors @ 2.05 (21/20); The Multiple pays approximately 6.48 (11/2)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

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