Swansea v Liverpool: Reds can triumph again but it won't be a walkover

Jurgen Klopp can earn a fifth successive victory on Monday
Jurgen Klopp can earn a fifth successive victory on Monday
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Following their victory over the formerly invincible league leaders Manchester City, Liverpool travel to Swansea on Monday night aiming to make it 15 games undefeated. Adam Baylis previews the encounter...

"Liverpool have conceded 28 goals this season and 75% of those have come away from Anfield, but Swansea have only managed to score on one occasion this campaign against a top six side. That makes the [2.20] for Liverpool to win to nil an appealing alternative to the match odds victory."

Swansea v Liverpool
Monday 20:00 GMT
Live on Sky Sports Main Event

Reds can't afford to get complacent

Last week against Manchester City, Liverpool took their Jekyll and Hyde persona to a new extreme. Their fluency in attack through the three-pronged Firmino, Mane and Salah trident was at times breathtaking while the manner in which their defence wobbled in the final ten, concerning - but likely borne out of heavy legs.

The good news is that Jurgen Klopp will be able to welcome back £75 million Virgil van Dijk alongside Joel Matip for this clash. In addition, the Swansea front-line doesn't include the likes of Aguero or Sane - take a deep breath Loris Karius. The Reds showed last week that life post-Coutinho is of little concern and in matching up with the Premier League's bottom side on Monday night, they need really only worry about complacency as odds of [1.33] suggest.

Carvalhal well aware of the task at hand

There's no doubt that Swansea have looked a much improved side under Carlos Carvalhal and as such have only lost one of his five games in charge. However those have come against Watford, Newcastle and a pair of FA Cup clashes with Wolves. The sole defeat, a 2-0 loss to Spurs showcased that while able to hold themselves together defensively, they offer very little threat on the break through Jordan Ayew.

Having only netted on a league low 14 occasions, they were no doubt looking for more from Wilfried Bony on his return to the club this season. It's entirely possible that Carvalhal could turn to the imposing centre forward for this game in a bid to hold up possession and draw the likes of Renato Sanches - another disappointment - and Sam Clucas into the fray. However whether he opts for the Ivorian or sticks with Ayew he isn't wrong when describing this as a "David and Goliath" contest.

Swans record against top six makes grim reading

Liverpool make very little appeal at [1.32] for a game that they should be winning at a canter. The [12.0] on offer for Swansea to record their third home win of the season will certainly tempt those dreaming of an upset and it's [5.9] for the spoils to be shared.

Liverpool have conceded 28 goals this season and 75% of those have come away from Anfield, but Swansea have only managed to score on one occasion this campaign against a top six side. That makes the [2.20] for Liverpool to win to nil an appealing alternative to the match odds victory.

Swansea back four can mount some resistance

Jurgen Klopp's side have scored at least two goals in their last six Premier League away games, as such, Over 2.5 goals is currently [1.67]. It's worth considering however that since Carvalhal's arrival, Swansea haven't conceded more than two in all matches; moreover only against both Manchester clubs have they let in two or more at home so I'd look to the Unders at [2.50].

Alternatively it's 12/5 on the Betfair Sportsbook for a Liverpool victory and Under 2.5 goals.

Oxlade-Chamberlain to feature again

Salah, Firmino and Mane are priced up at 10/11, 6/5 and 6/4 respectively to score anytime but Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain had an excellent game against Man City last week. He opened the scoring at Anfield that day with a well-worked effort and will be keen to continue that streak and cement his place in the first team; he's 11/4 to do so.

Referee Watch

Neil Swarbrick is handed the officiating duties on Monday night, his last Premier League fixture was Liverpool's 2-1 home win against Leicester when he handed out no less than five yellow cards to bring his season total to 32. James Milner, Emre Can and Andrew Robertson were all cautioned by him last time out.

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