Andrew Hughes thinks Poland will hold Italy to a draw in Sunday's Nations League clash and help to land another weekend multiple in the process
“Poland are an ordinary side, and new manager Jerzy Brzeczek is already under pressure after three games without a win, but the Poles have a good goal-scoring record at home, while Italy have drawn three of their last four.”
After two games of the inaugural Nations League, Italy are propping up Group 3 of League A, and although they are favourites to prevail in Sunday's game, look poor value based on what we've seen this year.
As Mark O'Haire explains in his Match Preview, Roberto Mancini's side have won just one of their last ten games, scoring seven goals, and although they had plenty of shots on goal in Wednesday's friendly against Ukraine, they only found the net once.
Poland are an ordinary side, and new manager Jerzy Brzeczek is already under pressure after three games without a win, but the Poles have a good goalscoring record at home, while Italy have drawn three of their last four. This could be a scrappy, nervy affair, and the draw looks the best bet.
Of all the games in this weekend's opening round of Champions Cup fixtures, this looks the most interesting, and the market seems to be underestimating the hosts.
Admittedly, Saracens have looked like the dominant force in English rugby so far this season, and have a perfect record. They deserve to go into the game as favourites. But do they deserve to be rated as [1.25] shots?
I think that price is an insult to the Warriors, who have started their Pro14 campaign with a bang, and, as Simon Mail points out in his Champions Cup Preview, this is likely to be a close one. At [4.0] Glasgow are an easy pick.
When Dallas Cowboys opted to punt at 4th and 1 against the Texans last week, it symbolised the muddled thinking and incompetence that has led to their repeated failures, despite being one of the most high profile sports teams in the world.
Entertaining though it may be for the Cowboys' many detractors, for Dallas fans, the fact that yet another season is wobbling off the rails may be a disappointment too far, and it would be no surprise to see head coach Jason Garrett finally pay with his job.
Either way, backing them at short odds against play-off contenders Jacksonville is not particularly appealing. Remember, the Jaguars beat the New England Patriots in their second outing this year, and they also have the meanest defense in the NFL, while the Cowboys are among the league's bottom three scoring sides so far.
Total Odds for this multiple: [19.47] Remember, multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.
2018 Weekend Multiple P/L
Staked: 81 pts
Returned: 92.78 pts
P/L: + 11.78 pts
2017 P/L: + 0.99 pts
2016 P/L: + 20.99 pts
2015 P/L: - 0.51 pts
2014 P/L: + 12.69 pts
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