We're starting the weekend in Germany, because Kev thinks the hosts Stuttgart should be opposed at odds-on.
"Stuttgart have taken just a point from their three league games, while Fortuna's performances haven't been reflected by their results."
Fortuna to keep enjoying themselves
Stuttgart v Fortuna Dusseldorf
Friday 21 September, 19:30
Live on Betfair Live Video
I love this job, but occasionally my faith is tested. Astana's 95th-minute equaliser at Dynamo Kiev last night provided such a moment, but we're just about still in profit for the week, so it wasn't a big a hammer blow as it could've been.
We'll switch our attention to Germany, because Matchday Four in the Bundesliga kicks off with a clash between Stuttgart and newly-promoted Fortuna Dusseldorf.
Stuttgart have made an awful start to the season, crashing out of the DFB Cup to third-division side Hansa Rostock and collecting a solitary point from their three games in the Bundesliga.
There were some encouraging signs in the recent 3-3 draw at southern rivals Freiburg. Star striker Mario Gomez returned to form with a brace on his 300th Bundesliga appearance, and there are signs that a partnership is forming with new signing Nicolas Gonzalez. However, the pace of Stuttgart's attacking play is still too slow, they have looked defensively suspect (Holger Badstuber has totally lost form) and keeper Ron-Robert Zieler is letting in shots he should be saving.
Newly-promoted Fortuna have made a decent start to the season, taking four points from their first three matches. They secured a superb win against Hoffenheim last weekend, as on-loan striker Dodi Lukebakio netted a late winner from the penalty spot.
Dusseldorf are playing with energy and discipline, and if you look at current form, there's no way that Stuttgart should be as short as they are to win this game.
I'm laying the hosts.
Points Staked: 138
Points Returned: 148.06
P/L: +10.06 points
Lay Stuttgart at 1.738/11