Sporting Gijon v Barcelona B
Sunday April 05, 16:00
Five was the magic number for us last night. Five goals without reply for PSV Eindhoven at FC Twente meant five winners in a row for us this week. Many thanks should go to Dutch football expert and commentator Rich Connelly, who gave me a crucial early steer on team news. He's the latest name on the "pint owed" list.
Despite being an agnostic, I am always happy to take on board the customs of my religious counterparts, and have therefore stuffed my face full of chocolate. I shall try not to let the Easter sugar rush affect my judgement.
To Spain for this week's finale, and the curious case of Barcelona B. While the senior team are still on course for glory both at home and abroad, the reserves are in serious danger of dropping down to the third tier. This is all the more surprising when you think they finished third last season, and haven't ended up outside the top ten in the Segunda since winning promotion in 2010.
If Barca B's players do suffer the drop this term, they will rub shoulders with some illustrious names who have also been relegated while playing for the reserves. Carles Puyol, Xavi and Pedro all had the pain of demotion while turning out at the Mini Estadi.
The current team is in deep trouble. They are second from bottom, three points adrift of safety. Their away form is particularly wretched - they have lost six of their last seven away games, and their only win in that sequence came at rock-bottom Sabadell. In that run of defeats, they lost 4-0 at Real Zaragoza, and 7-0 at Real Valladolid. Ouch.
Today Barca B travel to third-placed Sporting Gijon. The Rojiblancos have been knocked off the summit thanks to a run of one win in five games, but they are still just two points off top spot. They have won eight of their last 12 home games, suffering just one defeat in that run.
Against a Barca B team that is floundering badly, and that has by far the worst defence in the division (57 goals conceded), I'm expecting the hosts to recapture their best form and win comfortably.
Recommended Bet
Back Sporting Gijon -1.0 on the Asian Handicap at 1.9420/21