After a Swedish setback, Kev thinks he's found an attractive short-price lay in South America.
"Real Garcilaso have ground out some respectable results in the Copa Libertadores, and they have a good recent record against tonight's opponents."
Sporting Cristal v Real Garcilaso
Tuesday June 06, 19:00
Visitors have a Sporting chance
The trail went cold for us in Sweden last night, as Helsingborgs were held to a 1-1 draw at struggling Gefle. It stings, but we move on.
I suggest you stock up on pop and crisps, because we're taking a long flight to Peru. It's early days in the Primera Division's Clausura season, and I believe Sporting Cristal are too short for the win against Real Garcilaso.
Real have been sharpened by being involved in the group stage of the Copa Libertadores (they were runners-up in the league in 2017), and although they only won one of their six games, they took four points off Brazilian giants Santos and held Estudiantes to a goalless draw. Having done okay at continental level, they have made an unbeaten start to the Clausura part of the league season, and are looking for a third straight win.
Sporting Cristal lost their most recent home match against Alianza Lima, a result that ended a sequence of five straight home wins. Overall, they have won just three of their last seven league games, and this is still a team trying to find its feet after a disappointing 2017.
Now that Real Garcilaso are out of the Copa Libertadores, they can fully focus on domestic matters, and they have put together a five-match unbeaten run in all competitions. They haven't lost any of their last three meetings with tonight's opponents, and have kept clean sheets in all of those clashes.
At [1.52], the hosts seem too short.
Points Staked: 85
Points Returned: 90.87
P/L: +5.87 points
Lay Sporting Cristal at [1.52]