After picking up a [3.3] winner in Spain, Kev's taking us to the industrial heartland of Germany.
"Schalke are chasing a fifth straight win, while Koln are losing games and leaking goals."
Schalke v FC Koln
Saturday 05 October, 17:30
Live on BT Sport and Betfair Live Video
We're starting to really like Alcorcon. For the second time this week, they delivered us an odds-against winner, as they conveniently lost 1-0 at home to Albacete.
We head to Germany now to check in with a resurgent Schalke. Royal Blues coach David Wagner has sifted through the wreckage of the club's worst campaign in 31 years, and he has managed to drag a demoralised team into the light.
Hitherto wayward playmaker Amine Harit is now delivering what we always knew he was capable of, and he has scored four goals and set up a further couple. Welsh winger Rabbi Matondo scored on his first Bundesliga appearance of the season in last weekend's highly impressive victory at high-flying RB Leipzig, and the teenager's pace makes him a real threat. The injury crisis that has plagued the club for so long appears to be finally easing, and Die Konigsblauen have collected 13 points from six matches.
Fans in Cologne are an excitable bunch, but they haven't had much to get excited about since Koln returned to the Bundesliga. A win at Freiburg has been the only high point, with five defeats suffered in the first six matches. The nadir was last Sunday's 4-0 hammering at home by Hertha Berlin, a result that was largely sparked by a monumentally dumb sending-off for defender Jorge Mere, after an X-rated challenge on halfway.
Schalke are chasing a fifth straight league win, and I think they'll get it against a Koln team that has lost its last three games and conceded at least twice in four of its six games so far. Back the hosts to win at a generous [1.75].
Points Staked: 136
Points Returned: 124.26
P/L: -11.74 points
Back Schalke to win at [1.75]