Saturday Premier League Tipsheet: Back the Hammers to win on the road again

Mike fancies Kevin de Bruyne to get on the scoresheet against Newcastle on Saturday
Mike fancies Kevin de Bruyne to get on the scoresheet against Newcastle on Saturday

Mike Norman has five Premier League games kicking off at the traditional time of 3pm to preview, and here our man provides a recommended bet in each including another away win for the impressive Hammers...

"The Black Cats are desperate to get off the mark in the league and the fans will demand a positive and attack-minded approach, and if that's how the game pans out then I can see it playing right into West Ham's hands."

Back West Ham @ 2.47/5 to beat Sunderland

Aston Villa 2.68/5 v Stoke 3.1511/5; The Draw 3.412/5

Villa are in danger of becoming a mainstay in the relegation zone and it's already a desperate situation that they find themselves in.

Tim Sherwood's men have taken just one point from six games since they opened the season with a 1-0 victory at Bournemouth, that coming against a poor Sunderland side, and they've conceded an average of exactly two goals per game in those six league matches.

Stoke are just one place and two points ahead of Villa in the league table but you sense that Mark Hughes' men are on the improve after they recorded their first win of the season last Saturday.

The Potters have lost just two of their last six; one when down to nine men early against West Brom and the other away at Arsenal so no disgrace there. They fought back from two down to draw at Spurs on the road and they've scored twice in each of their last two league matches so they're starting to find the back of the net regularly.

And that could well be the difference here. Villa have been amongst the goals also this season but having such a leaky defence my gut feeling is that Stoke will outscore them in this game and take all three points.

Recommended Bet
Back Stoke to Win @ 3.1511/5

Bournemouth 2.166/5 v Watford 3.814/5; The Draw 3.613/5

Bournemouth were dealt another huge blow last week when top scorer Callum Wilson was ruled out for six months with a knee injury, this coming just weeks after summer signings Tyrone Mings and Max Gradel were effectively ruled out for the season.

It will be a tough job for Eddie Howe to keep spirits high in the Cherries camp, especially after last week's late defeat at Stoke, a result that saw Bournemouth drop to 16th in the table.

They host Watford on Saturday in a meeting between last season's automatically promoted clubs so both sides will see this as an opportunity to add three points to their tally.

The Hornets are 13th in the table after last week's 1-0 defeat to Crystal Palace, the fifth time this season (from just eight league and cup games) that they've failed to find the back of the net.

But while Quique Flores' men are finding goalscoring difficult at this higher level they look a well organised side that have only conceded five times in their last seven league and cup outings. I envisage them frustrating Bournemouth at Dean Court in a game that might be decided by a single goal, though I'll take a chance on the outcome being all square.

Recommended Bet
Back The Draw @ 3.613/5

Man City 1.251/4 v Newcastle 15.014/1; The Draw 7.413/2

Despite Newcastle's much improved performance last week against Chelsea, and Man City's humiliating defeat at Tottenham, it's still virtually impossible to look beyond anything than a home win in this fixture.

But do you want to take odds of just 1.251/4 about a side that has lost back-to-back league games and conceded six goals in the process? I'm confident that a lot of people will be saying no to that question.

I certainly won't be taking short odds about a City win and will instead back Kevin de Bruyne to get on the scoresheet at the Etihad Stadium.

I'm a huge fan of the former Chelsea man and I honestly believe he will be pivotal to any success Man City achieve this season. That's not the boldest statement in the world given he cost in excess of £50m but it was impossible not to be impressed by his stats last term for Wolfsburg - the amount of assists and goalscoring chances he created were incredible, and he scored plenty too.

He's already bagged three for his new side and in every game he's played he has looked one of the best players on the pitch, capable of causing huge problems for any defence.

City will have to work hard to break Newcastle down but I can see them scoring two or three once they make the breakthrough, and that man De Bruyne looks a good wager to get amongst the goals at any time in the match.

Recommended Bet
Back Kevin de Bruyne To Score (anytime) @ 2.89/5

Norwich 2.3611/8 v Leicester 3.3512/5; The Draw 3.55

In a game that looks difficult to call backing goals at Carrow Road looks the best play in this potentially exciting encounter.

The Canaries are doing okay so far this season, taking nine points from seven games though what has been very noticeable so far is the amount of high-scoring games they've been involved in.

In nine league and cup outings this term Alex Neil's men have scored 16 times and conceded 13 with every single one of those nine matches containing at least two goals - seven have gone over the 2.5 goals mark and four have gone over the 3.5 goals mark including two of their three league games on home soil.

It's becoming well documented that Leicester can't keep a clean sheet with Claudio Ranieri's promise of a pizza for every player should they record a shut-out having no affect at all.

The Foxes have scored a remarkable 21 goals in nine league and cup games so for this term while at the other end they've conceded 16. Their last three league matches have all gone over the 3.5 goals mark - in fact they've averaged over five goals per game - and given Norwich are the opposition here I'm confident we'll see another high-scoring affair on Saturday.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 3.5 Goals @ 3.185/40

Sunderland 3.39/4 v West Ham 2.47/5; The Draw 3.55/2

I dare say it will be a long time until we see a 'mid-table' side win away at Arsenal, Liverpool, and Man City in the same season again.

And I say mid-table because that's what West Ham are in reality, though their early season exploits on the road have been nothing short of incredible - the combined odds of those wins at the Emirates, Anfield, and the Etihad were in the region of 1,750/1.

On Saturday Slaven Bilic's men face bottom-of-the-table Sunderland, and while that presents a completely different challenge to their three previous away games - they're now favourites and expected to win for example - I still believe they're a cracking bet to return to London with all three points.

And that's simply because Sunderland can't stop conceding goals - 23 in just nine league and cup games this season.

The Black Cats are desperate to get off the mark in the league and the fans will demand a positive and attack-minded approach, and if that's how the game pans out then I can see it playing right into West Ham's hands.

The Hammers, probably fearing no team on the road, will hopefully soak up any early Sunderland pressure and hit them on the break. I can't see Bilic's men not scoring to be honest, and at 2.47/5 they rate a great bet to make it four wins from four away from Upton Park.

Recommended Bet
Back West Ham to Win @ 2.47/5
(best bet)

*You can follow me on Twitter - @MikkyMo73

**For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.

Premier League 2015/16 Season P/L

Staked: 41 pts
Returned: 34.03 pts
P/L: -6.97 pts

*based on 1pt each bet, 2pts best bet

**2014/15 P/L = +35.3 pts from 215 staked (ROI = 16.42%)

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