Saturday Premier League Tipsheet: Reds to halt Newcastle's recent good form

Jurgen Klopp's Liverpool have scored 12 goals in their last three games at Anfield
Jurgen Klopp's Liverpool have scored 12 goals in their last three games at Anfield

There are just the three Premier League games kicking off at the traditional time of 3pm on Saturday afternoon for Mike Norman to get stuck into this week, and here are our man's trio of recommended bets...


"Jurgen Klopp's men are flying at present. They've won three on the bounce in the Premier League and they've also won three consecutive games at Anfield, scoring four against Merseyside rivals Everton, four against Stoke, and four against Borussia Dortmund in the Europa League."

Back Liverpool -1 @ 2.77/4 to beat Newcastle

Aston Villa 7.26/1 v Southampton 1.584/7; The Draw 4.3100/30

It's impossible to see anything other than a Southampton victory here, but I'm not prepared to recommend a 1.584/7 shot when I have just three matches to try and make a profit from, so the task is to find a more appealing wager.

Villa have lost nine on the spin now and had their relegation confirmed when losing narrowly to Manchester United last week. In normal circumstances you could argue that a 1-0 defeat at Old Trafford was a creditable result, but they mustered just one shot on target in that game and as I said beforehand, United are extremely poor - by far the most boring side in the top half of the table.

More off-field problems for Villa emerged during the week when it was reported that club captain Gabriel Agbonlahor was out 'partying' after Saturday's relegation, and he has now been suspended.

The only surprise about that story to me was that Agbonlahor is club captain! I wasn't aware of that. Why would you have someone of his character - a player I can't recall ever doing an interview, or striking me as someone to look up to - as a captain? Villa's problems run very deep.

Southampton are chasing down a top six finish, and although I was quite dismissive of their away form recently - an opinion based on the lack of goals they've scored on their travels - it was remiss of me to fail to mention the games they've won.

Ronald Koeman's men, despite being low scorers on their travels, have won at Man Utd, Stoke, and Swansea in recent months while also drawing at Arsenal and Everton. So not too shabby away form after all.

Having said that, the fact is they don't score many away from home (just six in their last 10 games) and all their victories have been by single goal margins. I have a hunch that Southampton will record a low-scoring win again on Saturday, and therefore will dutch back a number of scorelines.

Recommended Bet
dutch Back 0-1, 0-2, 1-2 scorelines @ 2.68/5


Bournemouth 3.211/5 v Chelsea 2.427/5; The Draw 3.613/5

After going 15 Premier League games without defeat under Guus Hiddink Chelsea have now lost two on the spin, and both without scoring.

It's easy to suggest that the Blues have switched off for the season, and that as soon as they were knocked out of the Champions League and any slim hopes of a top four finish had vanished, then a desire to qualify for the Europa League became non existent.

Or quite possibly it could be that Chelsea have just under-performed recently. However you see it I think it's hard to have full confidence in them at Dean Court on Saturday against a Bournemouth side that will be desperate to beat them and cap a wonderful season.

Eddie Howe's men are actually just three points behind Chelsea and will move level on points with them in mid-table with a win which will act as another incentive, as well as keeping the dream of a top half finish alive.

The Cherries haven't really been in great form on home soil however, winning just two and losing five of their last seven in front of their own fans, and on that basis it's difficult to have confidence in a home win also.

I believe both sides will be perfectly happy with a draw, a result that will stop Chelsea's 'mini rot' while also confirming Bournemouth as a solid mid-table side capable of mixing it with the elite.

Recommended Bet
Back The Draw @ 3.613/5


Liverpool 1.635/8 v Newcastle 6.05/1; The Draw 4.47/2

It seems to have escaped a lot of people's notice that Newcastle's slightly improved form of late has come on home soil. In fact, the Magpies have generally been a tough nut to crack at St James' Park, so what's changed?

Well away from home nothing has changed seemingly. Rafa Benitez's men have now lost 10 on the spin on their travels and they've conceded at least three in four of their last six games on the road. They've lost to the likes of Watford, Norwich, Stoke, and West Brom in that sequence and none of those teams were in the same form as Liverpool are at present.

Jurgen Klopp's men are flying. They've won three on the bounce in the Premier League and they've also won three consecutive games at Anfield, scoring four against Merseyside rivals Everton, four against Stoke, and four against Borussia Dortmund in the Europa League.

I'm very confident therefore that the Reds can score two or three at least on Saturday afternoon and cover the -1 Handicap at the very appealing odds of 2.77/4. Bet of the day for me.

Recommended Bet
Back Liverpool -1 to Win @ 2.77/4
(best bet)


***


*You can follow me on Twitter - @MikkyMo73


**For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.


Premier League 2015/16 Season P/L

Staked: 210 pts
Returned: 228.09 pts
P/L: +18.09 pts

*based on 1pt each bet, 2pts best bet

**2014/15 P/L = +35.3 pts from 215 staked (ROI = 16.42%)

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