Bournemouth 1.9210/11 v Norwich 4.77/2; The Draw 3.711/4
With Newcastle and Sunderland picking up four points between them in the midweek round of fixtures both Bournemouth and Norwich are right back in the battle to avoid the drop following defeats to West Ham and Stoke respectively.
As a punter I like The Canaries because their games usually go to form as in they lose more often than not when they're fancied to lose - recent away defeats at Chelsea, Watford, Tottenham, and Stoke for example.
Alex Neil's men are fancied to lose again on Saturday but I have to admit that I find Bournemouth's odds-on price very short indeed. As the odds suggest, The Cherries are the most likely winners, but I believe these two teams are much more closely matched and I can't have the home side at 1.9420/21 to win.
Eddie Howe's men are four league games without a win now while Norwich have won three of their last five so I certainly believe Neil's men are in good enough form to make a game of it at Dean Court.
In fact Norwich haven't lost to Bournemouth in their last three meetings with those games ending with scorelines of 3-1 and 2-1 (to Norwich) and 1-1. I wouldn't put anyone off backing the away side here but I believe the best wager could well be Both Teams to Score.
Back Both Teams to Score @ 1.981/1
Chelsea 1.84/5 v Everton 5.04/1; The Draw 4.03/1
I haven't been too complimentary about either of these sides in recent weeks but I've probably been more critical of Chelsea and prior to their midweek game with West Brom I wasn't convinced at all about all this talk about how they've 'turned the corner'.
I thought Chelsea's performance against Manchester United was poor, but it was even worse against Scunthorpe in the FA Cup on Sunday. Those two games were the only two times I've had chance to watch The Blues under Guus Hiddink, and while some will argue that results are far more important than performances - they're right of course - it's the performances that we generally use to gauge how good a side is.
I recommended a lay of Chelsea in midweek when I thought they were a ridiculously short price of around 1.42/5 to beat Albion and thankfully I was proved correct, so there's absolutely no reason for me to change my approach here.
I still believe Chelsea are a poor side, completely unrecognisable from the title-winning one last season despite having much the same personnel, and talk that they have clicked into gear for Hiddink was very premature for my liking.
Everton are another of the Premier League's underachievers for me but they don't lose often even if they do fail to beat some of the teams you expect them to beat. It's been well documented that the only league wins they've recorded since September are against the Premier League's bottom three clubs.
But Roberto Martinez's men have drawn more games than any side in the top flight and they're one of the highest-scoring teams in the division, and I believe they're capable of going to Stamford Bridge and earning at least a draw.
Lay Chelsea @ 1.814/5
Man City 1.412/5 v Crystal Palace 8.88/1; The Draw 5.49/2
I really wish Manuel Pellegrini would just field his strongest side in the Premier League. It seems like he fields a stronger side in the domestic cups than he does for league matches and I find that incredibly strange.
In midweek Pellegrini elected to leave his most attacking defender, Aleksander Kolarov, and his most creative midfielder, David Silva, on the bench for a game against Everton and you could argue that he paid the price as Man City were held 0-0.
He'll probably do something similar at the weekend, leave at least one star name on the bench because that's what he seems to do regularly these days. And for us punters it doesn't help at all. Not that Pellegrini needs to think of our needs of course, he just needs to field his best side available!
By Alan Pardew's own admission Crystal Palace put in their worst performance of the season in a midweek loss to Aston Villa and you can rest assured they'll be much better at the Etihad Stadium.
Man City should win, but we said that in midweek, but whatever the outcome this encounter should at least witness a few goals. City have scored 37 goals in their previous 10 wins on home soil while Palace have been one of the best sides away from home for the last 12 months.
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.75/7
Newcastle 2.588/5 v West Ham 3.185/40; The Draw 3.412/5
For a team that had just won three on the spin, and earlier in the season had won away at the likes of Arsenal, Liverpool, and Manchester City, I was amazed that we could back West Ham at 3.9 to beat Bournemouth in midweek, and The Hammers duly rewarded my confidence with a 1-3 victory.
I'm a little surprised then, actually, make that very surprised, that Slaven Bilic's men are once again the outsiders to win at a club that are actually in a worse position than Bournemouth were.
Newcastle are 19th in the table after going six games without a win, four in which they failed to score a single goal while another resulted in them failing to beat hapless Aston Villa on home soil.
True, Steve McClaren's men performed much better in midweek against Manchester United but that seemed like just one of those freak games that was wide open from start to finish and it could easily have finished with more goals with any side winning.
West Ham will be a different test I feel. They are in better form than Man Utd were for starters having won four consecutive games now, and that away record really is very impressive. West Ham are also fifth in the table, have the excellent Dimitri Payet back at full fitness, and are playing with extreme confidence at present.
An away win looks a strong selection.
Back West Ham to Win @ 3.185/40
Southampton 1.748/11 v West Brom 6.05/1; The Draw 3.7511/4
Initially it's hard to make a case for Southampton at 1.748/11 because like most clubs in this bizarre Premier League season they are becoming ultra inconsistent.
The Saints have been losing when well fancied to win, while their only victory in recent weeks before the midweek round of fixtures was a 4-0 thrashing of league leaders Arsenal. It makes punting in this division very hard. And that's not an excuse as I've actually clawed my way into profit in the last month or so.
But the reality is, Southampton, ignoring their win over Arsenal and the 2-0 victory over Watford in midweek, are impossible to have any confidence about at just 1.748/11 to win. But then you see how they performed against the Gunners and read that they should have scored six past the Hornets and you realise how good Ronald Koeman's men can be on their day.
West Brom have been in decent form themselves recently, winning two straight Premier League games before earning a good draw at Chelsea in midweek. In fact in three of their last four away games Tony Pulis' men avoided defeat at Stamford Bridge, Liverpool and West Ham, and they've scored at least two in each of their last three outings.
So rather than take the short odds on Southampton in the hope that they're on a 'going day' let's instead side with Over 2.5 Goals at an incredibly generous looking price of 2.3411/8.
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.3411/8
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