Saturday Championship Tipsheet: It's got to be the Addicks again at a huge price

Mike Norman
28 August 2015

It's been a terrific start for Guy Luzon's Charlton and Mike is backing them again to win at Wolves

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A couple of winners for Mike Norman last week though he's still waiting for that big-price triumph that propels him into a healthy profit. Will Charlton deliver the goods this week at what our man believes to be a very generous price...

"They've had to play two of the clubs prominent in the title betting - Derby and Nottm Forest - away from home, while at The Valley they've faced, and defeated, two of last season's relegated clubs in QPR and Hull."

Back Charlton to Win @ 5.04/1

Ipswich 2.26/5 v Brighton 3.711/4; The Draw 3.55/2

Top host second top on Saturday afternoon in what is sure to be an entertaining affair at Portman Road.

Mick McCarthy's men started the season with what was undoubtedly a disappointing draw at Brentford, having led 0-2 only to concede twice in injury time and get pegged back to 2-2. The manner of that draw could have affected the Tractor Boys badly, but it's been quite the opposite.

Five wins on the spin has seen Ipswich reach the third round of the Capital One Cup as well as make the early pace in the Championship table. They've scored at least two goals in all six of their games so far this term, while at the other end they've conceded in five of those matches.

Under 2.5 goals is trading very short in this match - available to back at just 1.738/11 - and that is purely because Saturday's visitors to Suffolk, Brighton, have been involved in three 1-0 victories already this season as well as a 1-1 draw.

But away from home Chris Hughton's men have defeated Fulham 1-2 and lost to Walsall (midweek) 2-1, and with the hosts in this game being free-scoring Ipswich, I'm willing to take a chance on seeing at least three goals again.

Given that five of the Tractor Boys' six games to date have gone that way I believe a price of 2.285/4 is very fair.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.285/4

Nottm Forest 2.427/5 v Cardiff 3.259/4; The Draw 3.55/2

Another game where I envisage goals is at the City Ground as Nottm Forest host a Cardiff side who have found the back of the net at least once in every game they've played so far this season.

The Bluebirds have made a bright start to their league campaign, remaining unbeaten in four games against decent sides like Fulham, Blackburn, QPR, and Wolves, and although they lost to MK Dons in the cup in midweek I don't expect Russell Slade to be too disappointed by that loss.

Clearly for Cardiff a play-off place at least is the target this term and I've been impressed by the way they've set up and attacked their opposition so far, especially in the 2-2 away draw at Loftus Road.

Forest don't strike me as a side with lots of goals in them - not while Britt Assombalonga is sidelined at least - but two of their three home games so far this season have resulted in 2-1 and 3-4 scorelines.

After a couple of early defeats Dougie Freedman's men are definitely improving, and a game against tough opposition on home soil should result in Cardiff having plenty of chances, while at the other end the onus will be on Forest to attack. It should be an entertaining affair, and hopefully one with goals.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.166/5

Wolves 1.910/11 v Charlton 5.04/1; The Draw 3.613/5

I say it time and time again that anyone can beat absolutely anyone in this division, which makes backing teams at odds-on - and I'm taking about the 1.68/13 shots, not the marginal odds-on shots like 1.981/1 for example - a mug's game.

Even when you do fancy a 1.51/2 or 1.68/13 shot strongly then you're better off enhancing your price by backing in the -1 handicap market, or the Half Time/Full Time market, just like I did with Middlesbrough last week - who incidentally lost at home to Bristol City, proving once again that anyone can beat absolutely anyone!

So for the life of me I don't see any reason why Charlton can be backed at 5.04/1 to win this game. Guy Luzon's men have impressed me more than any other Championship side this term, remaining unbeaten in six league and cup games (won four, drew two), scoring 13 goals in the process.

What has been impressive about The Addicks' start is that before a ball was kicked this season most people were commenting on how tough Charlton's firs five fixtures were. They've had to play two of the clubs prominent in the title betting - Derby and Nottm Forest - away from home, while at The Valley they've faced, and defeated, two of last season's relegated clubs in QPR and Hull.

Charlton's fifth league game is another toughy, away to Wolves, but I still believe on what we've seen so far this season that they have a great chance of coming away with all three points, and at a very generous price too.

Kenny Jackett's men are without a league win since the opening day of the season. They are yet to win in the league on home soil, and they sit in 17th in the early table. Odds-on shots against the most impressive side in the division. Not thanks.

Recommended Bet
Back Charlton to Win @ 5.04/1 (best bet)

*You can follow me on Twitter - @MikkyMo73

**For a preview of every single live game in England's second tier, provided by Andy Tongue, simply visit our dedicated Championship section here on Betting.Betfair.