Championship Saturday Tipsheet: Addicks a huge price to win at Derby

Mike Norman
14 August 2015

Mike believes Guy Luzon's Charlton are a huge price against Derby on Saturday

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Mike Norman's best bet selection prevailed last Saturday to immediately put his column into profit, and this Saturday he's hoping for a big price winner as in-form Charlton travel to under-par Derby...

"As well as that defeat to Pompey, Paul Clement's men could muster just a single goal on target in their opening league game at Bolton last Saturday, a game they drew 0-0."

Back Charlton @ 6.411/2 to beat Derby

Bristol City 2.89/5 v Brentford 2.767/4; The Draw 3.55/2

Bristol City went down 2-0 at Hillsborough last Saturday before being dumped out of the Capital One Cup by League Two outfit Luton in midweek, so it's fair to say the season hasn't started as well as Steve Cotterill would have liked.

Both those games were away from home however, and now playing back at Ashton Gate the Robins have to strive to get their season on the right track before two defeats turns into three, three defeats turns into four etc.

Cotterill's men scored over 100 goals last season and, with the strong possibility that Crystal Palace forward Dwight Gayle could be on his way to Bristol, the current crop of players will be keen to impress. I fancy they'll get amongst the goals on Saturday afternoon.

Brentford have already been involved in two 'four-goal' games this term. They started their campaign by bravely coming back from 0-2 down at home to Ipswich last Saturday to earn a draw, but on Tuesday night they were humiliated in front of their home fans when losing 0-4 at Griffin Park.

Like Bristol City, Marinus Dijkhuizen's men need to find a win sooner rather than later before confidence starts to sap, and the feeling is that goals will be scored in a game featuring two sides that leaked goals at an alarming rate in the first week of the new season.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.9620/21

Derby 1.645/8 v Charlton 6.411/2; The Draw 4.216/5

I could easily end up with egg on my face come 5pm on Saturday afternoon but I constantly say that the key to making a profit in this division is by taking on odds-on shots when they really shouldn't be so short in the Match Odds market.

I don't see any reason why Derby - a side that lost to League Two outfit Portsmouth in midweek - deserve to be priced at 1.645/8 to beat a Charlton side that have started the season in tremendous fashion.

We could easily just lay The Rams and hope for the best, but at 6.411/2 to back I just can't let the Addicks go.

As well as that defeat to Pompey Paul Clement's men could muster just a single goal on target in their opening league game at Bolton last Saturday, a game they drew 0-0. Admittedly they are yet to play on home soil, but from the evidence of their opening two games Derby are some way off top gear.

That's in stark contrast to Charlton. Guy Luzon's men comfortably beat QPR on the opening day of the season before scoring four against lesser opposition in the League Cup in midweek.

Confidence is sure to be high amongst the Charlton camp and hopefully the can use that to their advantage at the iPro Stadium on Saturday against a side who will be under pressure to get their first victory of the campaign. Luzon's men shouldn't be the price they are that's for sure.

Recommended Bet
Back Charlton to Win @ 6.411/2 (best bet)

MK Dons 2.35/4 v Preston 3.613/5; The Draw 3.55/2

Like Charlton, MK Dons have also started the season with two wins out of two and I'm taking them to continue their winning start in a repeat of a League One clash that they lost 0-2 last term.

Karl Robinson's men were going through a horrible run of form at the time of that defeat and circumstances could hardly be different now. The Dons are brimming with confidence after opening the season with a thumping 1-4 win at Rotherham, and although they needed two late goals to beat Leyton Orient in midweek, the manner of that victory was very pleasing also.

Preston battled really hard at home to Middlesbrough last Sunday but in truth it was an extremely poor game that neither side wanted to lose, evidenced by the very few clear cut chances created.

Simon Grayson's men will take confidence from a 3-1 cup victory over Crewe in midweek but my gut feeling is that MK Dons have that little bit more quality than North End, and with home advantage they are very capable of continuing this 100% winning start to the season.

Recommended Bet
Back MK Dons to Win @ 2.265/4

*You can follow me on Twitter - @MikkyMo73