The Big Saturday Multiple: Huge German clash to be tighter than expected

The pressure is on Bayern following their midweek defeat
The pressure is on Bayern following their midweek defeat
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It's that time of the weekend where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections:

- Back Villarreal @ 1.61 (8/13)
- Back Sevilla @ 2.05 (21/20)
- Back Over 2.5 Goals in Watford v Leicester @ 2.2 (6/5)
- Back Under 2.5 Goals in Dortmund v Bayern Munich @ 2.1 (11/10)

The Multiple pays approximately 15.25 (14/1)

Bet 1: Villarreal (HOME) @ 1.61 (8/13)

The hosts are in a nice position in La Liga as they have a big gap over Sevilla in fifth but are within touching distance of Real Madrid in third. A fourth placed finish would put them in the Champions League qualifiers next season, but if they can make the top three, they will go straight into the main draw.

Marcelino's side were held in midweek at Celta Vigo but their record at home is excellent. They've won 11 of their 14 games there this term, losing just once. The Yellow Submarine don't score too many goals, but their defensive record is excellent. They have kept seven clean sheets in a row at El Madrigal and that includes visits from Real Madrid and Valencia.

Las Palmas have had a wonderful week as they won at Eibar before beating Getafe 4-0 on Tuesday. Those results helped move them out of the relegation zone but this is a different test entirely.

'Los Amarillos' have lost nine of their 14 on the road this year and before the shock win at Eibar, they had lost three in a row away from home - including matches against rock bottom, Levante, and the struggling, Rayo Vallecano.


Bet 2: Sevilla (AWAY) @ 2.05 (21/20)

This may come as a bit of a surprise selection as Sevilla are yet to win away from home in La Liga this season, but they are odds-against and are taking on a Getafe team in awful form.

The home team have lost seven games in a row to an aggregate score of 16-2. They were hammered by the struggling, Las Palmas, 4-0 on Tuesday and they have gone over nine hours without scoring a goal.

Their record in front of their own fans hadn't been too bad but they've lost their last three 1-0 and Sevilla look ripe to pick up their first away win of the campaign.

Unai Emery's men haven't been horrific on the road - only five defeats - but they've drawn far too many and that's why they are struggling for a top four finish.

It's not too late to make a push for the Champions League however and I think that move come begin tonight at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez.


Bet 3: Watford v Leicester (Over 2.5 goals) @ 2.2 (6/5)

I have covered this match in more detail here but my main bet in the game is over 2.5 goals and it would seem wrong to leave it out of this multiple.

Leicester are the Premier League's top scorers and while their defensive record has improved since the start of the campaign, there are still five other clubs who have conceded fewer.

A total of 10 of their 14 away from the King Power have finished with over 2.5 goals landing and while Watford are generally involved in much lower-scoring affairs, four of their last six at Vicarage Road have also gone over.

If Leicester are to win the league then they need to be winning most of their matches from now on and that should lead to them taking plenty of chances if the scores are level in the second half.


Bet 4: Dortmund v Bayern Munich (Under 2.5 goals) @ 2.1 (11/10)

One match where I don't think that there will be many goals is the big clash in Germany between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich.

Goals have traditionally been the order of the day for BVB but seven of their last nine in all competitions have gone under 2.5. Given the circumstances of midweek where they won and Bayern lost, if they can somehow win tonight, the gap at the top would be down to two points.

I expect Thomas Tuchel to adopt cautious tactics in the early stages and Bayern may well do the same to build up some confidence. Three of their last five away from the Allianz in the Bundesliga have finished with two or fewer being scored and aside from the 5-1 back in October, this fixture has traditionally been a low-scoring game.


Recommended Multiple

Back Villarreal @ 1.61 (8/13)

Back Sevilla @ 2.05 (21/20)

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Watford v Leicester @ 2.2 (6/5)

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Dortmund v Bayern Munich @ 2.1 (11/10)

The Multiple pays approximately 15.25 (14/1)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

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