The Big Saturday Multiple: Tony Adams to pick up first win as Granada boss

Can Tony Adams silence the doubters?
Can Tony Adams silence the doubters?
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It's that time of the weekend where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections:

- Back Fulham @ 1.65 (13/20)
- Back Granada @ 5.8 (24/5)
- Back Over 2.5 Goals in Atalanta v AC Milan @ 1.66 (4/6)
- Back Under 2.5 Goals in Stoke v Arsenal @ 2.37 (11/8)

The Multiple pays approximately 37.65 (37/1)

Bet 1: Fulham (HOME) @ 1.65 (13/20)

This is the first leg of their Championship Play-off Semi-Final and I can't see anything other than a home win for Fulham.

The Cottagers may have only finished sixth during the regular campaign but they are my pick to earn promotion as they have finished the season in fantastic fashion.

Slaviša Jokanović's side won five of their last six matches to knock Leeds out of the top six and they did so by scoring plenty of goals against some decent teams.

At Craven Cottage it's nine victories from their last 17 fixtures and while that doesn't sound overly impressive, one of those wins was a 5-0 thumping of today's opponents.

Reading also finished the season in good style as they won four of their last five to finish in third place. They are liable to throw in the odd stinker though and their record on their travels isn't overly great.

Jaap Stam's men have lost five of their last seven away from the Madejski and that includes a 7-1 thrashing at Norwich and 3-0 defeats at both Brighton and Preston.

Bet 2: Granada (AWAY) @ 5.8 (24/5)

This may come as a surprise pick and while I certainly don't think that Granada are nailed on to win, they are far too big at the prices to leave unbacked.

Tony Adams is yet to win a game as Granada manager - he hasn't even drawn one - but that doesn't quite tell the whole story. They have played five times and have come up against Celta Vigo, Sevilla, Malaga, Real Sociedad and Real Madrid.

None of those are easy fixtures and while his methods are unorthodox, I believe that Adams can get a win before the season is out. Tonight represents his best chance as they are taking on Osasuna who are bottom of La Liga.

The hosts are in better form but they concede goals for fun and they haven't kept a clean sheet at home since September. This is just a pure value pick, so if you're not comfortable with it, you can always leave it out and back the other three selections as a treble at around 11/2.

Alternatively you could apply the Acca Edge and get your money back on the fourfold if one leg lets you down.

Bet 3: Atalanta v AC Milan (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.66 (4/6)

This week's goal-fest will hopefully come from Italy as Atalanta and AC Milan take each other on in a battle between fifth and sixth.

'La Dea' are enjoying a fine campaign as they are up in fifth place and look set to qualify for next season's Europa League. They have lost just one of their last 15 matches and at home it's 10 victories from their 14 most recent outings.

AC Milan are trying to overhaul them but they trail by six points with just three games to go. A win is an absolute must for them this evening, so I would expect an attacking approach from Vincenzo Montella's side.

The stats are also pointing towards over 2.5 goals as three of Atalanta's last four on this ground have gone over - as have 20 of their 35 overall this term.

The visitors are two from four to go over away from the San Siro of late and they have scored in each of their last nine on the road - including at Juventus and Lazio.

Bet 4: Stoke v Arsenal (Under 2.5 goals) @ 2.37 (11/8)

The Gunners kept their top four hopes alive at St Mary's in the week by winning 2-0 and I expect something similar at Stoke today.

The under is odds-against here but I fancy it quite strongly. Stoke have been in miserable form and even at home it's one win in four. They failed to score against West Ham last time out there in a 0-0 draw and the players have been on the beach for a while.

Arsenal know that they need another victory to keep the pressure on Liverpool in fourth and since losing 2-0 at the Lane, they have bounced back well with 2-0 victories over Manchester United and Southampton.

Arsene Wenger's side have kept clean sheets in three of their last four Premier League fixtures and all four of them saw under 2.5 backers collect.

Recommended Multiple

Back Fulham @ 1.65 (13/20)

Back Granada @ 5.8 (24/5)

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Atalanta v AC Milan @ 1.66 (4/6)

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Stoke v Arsenal @ 2.37 (11/8)

The Multiple pays approximately 37.65 (37/1)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

2017 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 18pts
Returned: 12.97pts
P/L: -5.03pts

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