It's Argentina versus Brazil in the Copa Libertadores tonight and Paul Robinson thinks that Gremio can pick up a result at San Lorenzo.
"The Argentinians were beaten at home by Arsenal de Sarandi at the weekend and the goals have dried up in recent weeks."
Lay San Lorenzo v Gremio @ 1.84/5
San Lorenzo v Gremio
Wednesday March 16, 00:45 GMT
This is a huge match up when it comes to who will qualify from Group 6 as it looks like Toluca have nailed down their spot having taken seven points from their opening three fixtures. That leaves Gremio, San Lorenzo and LDU Quito fighting it out for the other qualifying place and it's the Brazilians who currently hold the advantage.
Gremio have won one, drawn one and lost one of their three matches with their most recent result being a 1-1 draw against tonight's opponents. Roger Machado's side are very hard to beat and they only finished one point behind runners up, Atletico Mineiro, in the league last season.
San Lorenzo actually did finish as runners up in their own domestic league last term but then manager, Edgardo Bauza, has departed to Sao Paulo and new man in charge, Pablo Guede, hasn't had the same impact. He made a decent enough start with a trio of league wins, but since then it's been two defeats and four draws in all competitions.
The Argentinians were beaten at home by Arsenal de Sarandi at the weekend and the goals have dried up in recent weeks. They've netted just three times in half a dozen outings and the visitors have a very solid defence.
It's impossible to get excited about San Lorenzo at the moment, especially at odds-on. Which is why, with their price trading at around the 1.84/5 mark, I have to make them my lay of the day.
Recommended Bet
Lay San Lorenzo v Gremio @ 1.84/5