The Portuguese title race is nearing an exciting climax and Paul Robinson thinks that Rio Ave can throw a spanner in the works against Benfica.
"A match against Benfica will obviously require them to lift their game if they are to continue that run but they’ve won their last two on this ground and it’s just one defeat in eight at home in all competitions."
Rio Ave v Benfica
Sunday April 24, 20:30 BST
Live on BT Sport Extra
A good run of form that has seen them pick up 10 points from a possible 12 has lifted Rio Ave up to sixth place in the table and they are now level on points with Arouca in fifth - with the top five all qualifying for Europe next season.
A match against Benfica will obviously require them to lift their game if they are to continue that run but they've won their last two on this ground and it's just one defeat in eight at home in all competitions. It's also worth noting that they won this fixture last season by two goals to one.
The visitors were unfortunate to exit the Champions League at the quarter-final stage after putting up a very creditable fight against Bayern Munich. They still have two domestic competitions that they are well in contention to win though, with the Primeira Liga being the main target.
Rui Vitória's side are one point behind leaders, Sporting CP, but this is their game in hand and as they have a superior goal difference, a draw this evening would see them go back to the top. They couldn't be in much better form as it's eight consecutive league victories and nine in a row on the road, but the pressure is mounting as the season draws to a close and the nerves will be beginning to jangle.
The Eagles are indeed the worthy favourites but they are far too short for my money, which is why, with their price trading at around the 1.491/2 mark, I have to make them my lay of the day.
Lay Benfica v Rio Ave @ 1.491/2
2015/16 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 219 pts
Returned: 238.64 pts
P/L: +19.64 pts