Football Bet of the Day: Gunners to take advantage of stuttering PSG

Unai Emery has had a frustrating start to life at PSG
Unai Emery has had a frustrating start to life at PSG
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After a quickfire winner in Germany, Kev's whisking us away to the French capital.

"PSG have dropped five points in their last two league games, and they have injury problems. This feels like a good time for Arsenal to play them."

Lay PSG at 2.001/1

PSG v Arsenal
Tuesday September 13, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 2

Like the A-Team's dear departed Hannibal, I love it when a plan comes together, and last night our BTTS bet landed inside 17 minutes. In the end, 1860 Munich won 2-1 at Nurnberg, but we'd switched off long before the final whistle.

We're chasing some Champions League glamour now, as Paris Saint-Germain face Arsenal in the Champions League.

PSG have not been at their best so far under new coach Unai Emery, and their tally of seven points from four Ligue 1 games is their lowest at this stage of a campaign since 2012. A 3-1 defeat at Monaco was followed by Friday's clumsy 1-1 draw with Saint-Etienne, a game that saw the visitors' Robert Beric poach a last-gasp equaliser.

Emery was brought in specifically for the Champions League, having delivered an extraordinary hat-trick of Europa League successes with Sevilla. He is an excellent coach and a deep tactical thinker, but he is unproven at Champions League level. Last season, his Sevilla side lost four of their UCL group-stage games, albeit in a tough group involving Borussia Monchengladbach, Juventus and Manchester City.

The PSG squad is packed with talent, but there are problems with form and fitness at present. Left-back Layvin Kurzawa has been hugely influential this term, but he's out injured, and defensive behemoth Thiago Silva has missed the start of the season and may lack a bit of sharpness. At the other end of the pitch, Edinson Cavani has struggled to fill the void left by the departure of Zlatan Ibrahimovic, and former Real Madrid wide forward Jese looked like a fish out of water when deployed as a central striker on Friday.

I have no doubt that PSG will eventually click into gear under Emery, and they will win yet another Ligue 1 title, but this could be a good time for Arsenal to play them. The Gunners also made a slow start to their campaign, but back-to-back wins against Watford and Southampton have lightened the mood.

Arsenal fans may be a bit discombobulated to see Laurent Koscielny and Shkodran Mustafi form a solid centre-back pairing, with a dedicated holding player like Granit Xhaka in front of them. Such security has been rare to see in Arsene Wenger's sides in recent seasons. Olivier Giroud is pushing for a start after an excellent Euro 2016 with France (I thought so anyway), while Mesut Oezil and Alexis Sanchez are both available. Aaron Ramsey is the only major short-term absentee.

If this game was a few months down the line, I may have a different view, but PSG look too short to me at evens to win this. Several key players are either injured or not fully fit, the team is still adapting to Emery's style, and Arsenal look to me to finally have a strong spine to their team. I can see this being a draw, which would suit us just fine, but laying the hosts covers the away win too.

Recommended Bet
Lay PSG at 2.001/1

2016 P/L (1 pt per bet)

Points Staked: 135

Points Returned: 136.63

P/L: +1.63 points

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