Football Bet of the Day: Let's be Pro-excitement tonight

We're hoping Virtus Entella will slide into action tonight
We're hoping Virtus Entella will slide into action tonight

After an odds-against winner in Germany, Kev's looking for a another one in Italy.

"These teams recently shared out three goals in a 2-1 win for Virtus Entella, and the league leaders have one of the best attacking records in the division."

Back Over 2.5 Goals at 2.8815/8

Big price worth pursuing in the overs market

Pro Vercelli v Virtus Entella
Tuesday 19 March, 19:30

It wasn't quite the Bavarian borefest we anticipated, but Greuther Furth's 2-0 win at Jahn Regensburg last night kept us under the 2.5 goals line, and gave us an odds-against winner to kick off the week.

We're making a short hop to Italy, because there's a top-of-the-table clash in store in the third-tier Serie C, as the leaders Virtus Entella make the journey to fourth-placed Pro Vercelli.

Pro Vercelli were relegated from Serie B last season, continuing their recent yo-yo status between the second and third divisions. It's a far cry from the successes of the early 20th century, a time that saw Pro Vercelli named as Italian champions seven times between 1908 and 1922. Pro Vercelli are fourth in the Serie C standings

Virtus Entella has only existed in its current form since 2010, having been initially refounded in 2002. They are top of the table at present, but have had a recent wobble, especially on the road.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at 2.8815/8, and whenever I see a price that big in that market, it makes sense to build a case for that outcome if possible. My suspicion is that the price has been inflated by the league leaders' recent troubles on the road (they have drawn a blank in their last three away games), but there are reasons to back overs here.

Firstly, the two teams played the reverse fixture last month and shared three goals in a 2-1 win for Virtus Entella. Secondly, three of Pro Vercelli's last four league matches have seen an Over 2.5 Goals bet land. Finally, Virtus have the second-best goalscoring record in the division with 46 goals in 27 games, and they have scored at least twice in an away game on six occasions this term.

I'll take a swing at backing overs here at 2.8815/8.

2019 P/L

Points Staked: 36
Points Returned: 29.62
P/L: -6.38 points

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