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href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/walter-toner/">Walter Toner</a></li> <li><time datetime="2018-02-15">15 February 2018</time></li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "Article", "headline": "European Value Tips: Back Villarreal to conquer Espanyol", "name": "European Value Tips: Back Villarreal to conquer Espanyol", "description": "Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this we...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/football/football-tips/performance-index/european-football-tips-friday-feb-16-sunday-feb-18-2018-150218-773.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/football/football-tips/performance-index/european-football-tips-friday-feb-16-sunday-feb-18-2018-150218-773.html", "datePublished": "2018-02-15T16:28:00+00:00", "dateModified": "2018-02-15T17:51:00+00:00", "thumbnailURL": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/football/Clleja villarreal - 1280.320x180.jpg", "articleBody": "Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers... Germany 2-Bundesliga Heidenheim v Bochum Friday, February 16, 2018 Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.4] Draw [3.15] Away [2.9] Fair Value Odds - Home [2.06] Draw [3.6] Away [4.2] Recommended Bet: Back Heidenheim above fair value Austria Bundesliga Mattersburg v Austria Vienna Saturday, February 17, 2018 Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.14] Draw [3.35] Away [3.2] Fair Value Odds - Home [3.5] Draw [3.8] Away [2.22] Recommended Bet: Back Austria Vienna above fair value Turkey Super Lig Antalyaspor v Kayserispor Saturday, February 17, 2018 Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.7] Draw [3.1] Away [2.5] Fair Value Odds - Home [2.18] Draw [3.6] Away [3.8] Recommended Bet: Back Antalyaspor above fair value Italy Serie-A Benevento v Crotone Sunday, February 18, 2018 Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.5] Draw [3.05] Away [2.8] Fair Value Odds - Home [3.6] Draw [3.3] Away [2.36] Recommended Bet: Back Crotone above fair value Italy Serie-A Atalanta v Fiorentina Sunday, February 18, 2018 Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.34] Draw [3.15] Away [2.94] Fair Value Odds - Home [1.93] Draw [3.85] Away [4.6] Recommended Bet: Back Atalanta above fair value Italy Serie-A AC Milan v Sampdoria Sunday, February 18, 2018 Betfair Back Odds - Home [1.7] Draw [3.75] Away [4.5] Fair Value Odds - Home [2.22] Draw [3.65] Away [3.6] Recommended Bet: Back Sampdoria above fair value Netherlands Eredivisie Twente v Sparta Rotterdam Sunday, February 18, 2018 Betfair Back Odds - Home [2] Draw [3.5] Away [3.35] Fair Value Odds - Home [1.75] Draw [4.2] Away [5.4] Recommended Bet: Back Twente above fair value Spain Primera-Division Espanyol v Villarreal Sunday, February 18, 2018 Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.44] Draw [3.05] Away [2.9] Fair Value Odds - Home [3.95] Draw [3.15] Away [2.34] Recommended Bet: Back Villarreal above fair value Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex ", "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/football/Clleja%20villarreal%20-%201280.jpg", "height": 720, "width": 1280 }, "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/_v2/img/betfairlogoblack.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": "Walter Toner" } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/football/Clleja villarreal - 1280.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/football/Clleja villarreal - 1280.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/football/Clleja villarreal - 1280.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/football/Clleja villarreal - 1280.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="Villarreal are enjoying a fruitful La Liga campaign"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Villarreal are enjoying a fruitful La Liga campaign</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promotions.betfair.com/prs/exchange-acq-uk-bau-money-back20-newvi-generic?rfr=2573">Join</a> </div> <div> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=European%20Value%20Tips%3A%20Back%20Villarreal%20to%20conquer%20Espanyol&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ffootball%2Ffootball-tips%2Fperformance-index%2Feuropean-football-tips-friday-feb-16-sunday-feb-18-2018-150218-773.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--twitter">Twitter</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--facebook"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ffootball%2Ffootball-tips%2Fperformance-index%2Feuropean-football-tips-friday-feb-16-sunday-feb-18-2018-150218-773.html" target="_blank" title="Facebook"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--facebook">Facebook</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--reddit"> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/submit/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ffootball%2Ffootball-tips%2Fperformance-index%2Feuropean-football-tips-friday-feb-16-sunday-feb-18-2018-150218-773.html" target="_blank" title="Reddit"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--reddit">Reddit</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--whatsapp"> <a href="https://api.whatsapp.com/send?text=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ffootball%2Ffootball-tips%2Fperformance-index%2Feuropean-football-tips-friday-feb-16-sunday-feb-18-2018-150218-773.html" target="_blank" title="WhatsApp"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--whatsapp">WhatsApp</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--telegram"> <a href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ffootball%2Ffootball-tips%2Fperformance-index%2Feuropean-football-tips-friday-feb-16-sunday-feb-18-2018-150218-773.html&text=European%20Value%20Tips%3A%20Back%20Villarreal%20to%20conquer%20Espanyol" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <p class="entry_body__intro">Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers...</p> <div class="entry_body__quote"> <blockquote><p>This week's Best Bet:<a href="http://btfr.co/139889098" target="_blank"> Back Heidenheim to win above fair value 2-1 at <b class="inline_odds" title="5/2"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.5</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">5/2</span></b></a></p></blockquote> </div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <p><strong>Germany 2-Bundesliga<br> <span>Heidenheim v Bochum</span><br> Friday, February 16, 2018</strong><p>Betfair Back Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="7/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.4</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">7/5</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="11/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.15</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">11/5</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="15/8"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.9</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">15/8</span></b></span><br> Fair Value Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="21/20"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.06</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">21/20</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="13/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.6</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">13/5</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="16/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">4.2</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">16/5</span></b></span></p><p><strong>Recommended Bet:<span> Back Heidenheim above fair value </span></strong></p><p><br> <strong>Austria Bundesliga<br> <span>Mattersburg v Austria Vienna</span><br> Saturday, February 17, 2018</strong></p><p>Betfair Back Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="11/10"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.14</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">11/10</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="12/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.35</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">12/5</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="11/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.2</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">11/5</span></b></span><br> Fair Value Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="5/2"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.5</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">5/2</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="14/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.8</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">14/5</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="6/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.22</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">6/5</span></b></span></p><p><strong>Recommended Bet: <span>Back Austria Vienna above fair value </span></strong></p><p><br> <strong>Turkey Super Lig<br> <span>Antalyaspor v Kayserispor</span><br> Saturday, February 17, 2018</strong></p><p>Betfair Back Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="7/4"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.7</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">7/4</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="85/40"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.1</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">85/40</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="6/4"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.5</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">6/4</span></b></span><br> Fair Value Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="6/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.18</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">6/5</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="13/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.6</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">13/5</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="14/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.8</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">14/5</span></b></span></p><p><strong>Recommended Bet:<span> Back Antalyaspor above fair value </span></strong></p><p><br> <strong>Italy Serie-A<br> <span>Benevento v Crotone</span><br> Sunday, February 18, 2018</strong></p><p>Betfair Back Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="6/4"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.5</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">6/4</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="2/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.05</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">2/1</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="9/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.8</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">9/5</span></b></span><br> Fair Value Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="13/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.6</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">13/5</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="9/4"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.3</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">9/4</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="11/8"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.36</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">11/8</span></b></span></p><p><strong>Recommended Bet: <span>Back Crotone above fair value </span></strong></p><p><br> <strong>Italy Serie-A<br> <span>Atalanta v Fiorentina</span><br> Sunday, February 18, 2018</strong></p><p>Betfair Back Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="11/8"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.34</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">11/8</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="11/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.15</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">11/5</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="2/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.94</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">2/1</span></b></span><br> Fair Value Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="10/11"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">1.93</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">10/11</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="14/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.85</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">14/5</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="7/2"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">4.6</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">7/2</span></b></span></p><p><strong>Recommended Bet:<span> Back Atalanta above fair value </span></strong></p><p><br> <strong>Italy Serie-A<br> <span>AC Milan v Sampdoria</span><br> Sunday, February 18, 2018</strong></p><p>Betfair Back Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="5/7"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">1.7</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">5/7</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="11/4"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.75</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">11/4</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="7/2"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">4.5</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">7/2</span></b></span><br> Fair Value Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="6/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.22</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">6/5</span></b> Draw 3.65 Away <b class="inline_odds" title="13/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.6</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">13/5</span></b></span></p><p><strong>Recommended Bet: <span>Back Sampdoria above fair value </span></strong></p><p><br> <strong>Netherlands Eredivisie<br> <span>Twente v Sparta Rotterdam</span><br> Sunday, February 18, 2018</strong></p><p>Betfair Back Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="1/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">1/1</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="5/2"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.5</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">5/2</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="12/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.35</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">12/5</span></b></span><br> Fair Value Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="8/11"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">1.75</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">8/11</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="16/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">4.2</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">16/5</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="9/2"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">5.4</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">9/2</span></b></span></p><p><strong>Recommended Bet:<span> Back Twente above fair value </span></strong></p><p><br> <strong>Spain Primera-Division<br> <span>Espanyol v Villarreal</span><br> Sunday, February 18, 2018</strong></p><p>Betfair Back Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="7/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.44</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">7/5</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="2/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.05</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">2/1</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="15/8"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.9</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">15/8</span></b></span><br> Fair Value Odds - <span>Home <b class="inline_odds" title="3/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.95</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">3/1</span></b> Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="11/5"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.15</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">11/5</span></b> Away <b class="inline_odds" title="11/8"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.34</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">11/8</span></b></span></p><p><strong>Recommended Bet: <span>Back Villarreal above fair value </span></strong></p><p><br> <strong>Follow Walter and the <italics> Performance Index</italics> for later games and other selections on Twitter - <a href="https://twitter.com/PerfIndex">@PerfIndex</a></strong></p><br></p> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2>Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)</h2> <p>Wagered: 330 pts<br> Returned: 355.12 pts<br> Profit: 25.12 pts or 108% ROI</p> </div> </section> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2>Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)</h2> <p>Wagered: 141 pts<br> Returned: 135.42 pts<br> Profit: (5.58) pts or 96% ROI<br> </p> </div> </section> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2>Bet £10 On ACCAS or Bet Builders and Get a £2 Free Bet</h2> <p>Bet £10 on Accas, Multiples or Bet Builders, at minimum combined odds of 2.0 (evens) and once the qualifying bet(s) have settled, you'll get a £2 free bet. 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