European Football Tips: Eight value bets from across the continent's top divisions

Falcao has 20 goals in all competitions
Falcao has 20 goals in all competitions

In his latest look at the best bets from across the top European leagues, stats man Walter Toner once again finds value with Monaco ahead of their visit to Marseille...

This week's Best Bet:

Recommended Bet: Back Monaco to win above a fair value 11-4(Currently trading at 4.2016/5)

Germany 2-Bundesliga
Regensburg v Ingolstadt
Friday January 26, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.65 Draw 3.412/5 Away 1.9520/21
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.962/1 Draw 3.45 Away 2.77/4

Recommended Bet: Back Regensburg above fair value

France Ligue-1
Metz v Nice
Saturday January 27, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.211/5 Draw 3.259/4 Away 2.26/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 4.47/2 Draw 3.814/5 Away 1.9620/21

Recommended Bet: Back Nice above fair value

Spain Primera-Division
Malaga v Girona
Saturday January 27, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.47/5 Draw 3.052/1 Away 32/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.185/40 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 2.6413/8

Recommended Bet: Back Girona above fair value

Spain Primera-Division
Villarreal v Real Sociedad
Saturday January 27, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.111/10 Draw 3.412/5 Away 3.211/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.738/11 Draw 4.03/1 Away 5.85/1

Recommended Bet: Back Villarreal above fair value

France Ligue-1
Marseille v Monaco
Sunday January 28, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.834/5 Draw 3.65 Away 4.1
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.77/4 Draw 3.814/5 Away 2.747/4

Recommended Bet: Back Monaco above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Crotone v Cagliari
Sunday January 28, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.35/4 Draw 3.052/1 Away 3.185/40
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.8415/8 Draw 3.412/5 Away 2.829/5

Recommended Bet: Back Cagliari above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Genoa v Udinese
Sunday January 28, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.1411/10 Draw 3.185/40 Away 3.412/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.02/1 Draw 3.39/4 Away 2.747/4

Recommended Bet: Back Udinese above fair value

Spain Segunda-Division
Huesca v Osasuna
Sunday January 28, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.1411/10 Draw 2.942/1 Away 3.45
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.865/6 Draw 3.613/5 Away 5.69/2

Recommended Bet: Back Huesca above fair value

Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex


Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 307 pts
Returned: 333.1 pts
Profit: 26.1 pts or 108% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 118 pts
Returned: 113.4 pts
Profit: (4.6) pts or 96% ROI

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