Saturday Championship Tips: Back the on-song Canaries

Norwich City
Daniel Farke's Norwich City are flying high this season
Join today

James Buttler picks his three best bets from this Saturday's Championship matches and looks no further than Norwich City for his first pick...

"This game is a Norwich victory, but the quest is to add value to the odds-on win price of [1.85].

Three different Norwich players have scored a brace across their last four Championship games with Timm Klose, Jordan Rhodes and Teemu Pukki filling their boots."

Before I begin this week, after their performance last few weekend, West Brom are on the blacklist. What has happened to the formerly free-scoring Baggies?

Norwich the Championship's form side

Norwich [1.89] v Millwall [4.7]; The Draw [3.75]

The team doing the business at the moment is Norwich City. They were my best bet to win away at Sheffield Wednesday last weekend and they landed the bet in style with a crushing 4-0 demolition.

After winning just one of their opening six league games this season (D2 L3), Norwich have won eight of their last 10 in the Championship (D1 L1) and this Saturday's clash against Millwall is chalk against cheese.

Millwall haven't got good memories of visiting Carrow Road having not claimed a win at at the ground since 1968 and losing 13 of their last 20 matches with the East Anglian side.

Millwall have lost four of their last five league games against Norwich, winning the other 4-0 at the Den last season. They are winless in their last 10 Championship away games, drawing three and losing seven. And the story of woe continues, they've conceded at least two goals in their last five away league matches.

This game is a Norwich victory, but the quest is to add value to the odds-on win price of [1.74].

Three different Norwich players have scored a brace across their last four Championship games with Timm Klose, Jordan Rhodes and Teemu Pukki filling their boots.

But with the scoring spread it's tough to pinpoint who will add to their tally on Saturday and so Norwich to win and Over 2.5 goals (which has landed in the last five games between these two sides) is the best bet this weekend at [2.93].

Dack to send Millers packing

Blackburn [1.74] v Rotherham [5.8]; The Draw [3.85]

Blackburn are unbeaten in seven league games against Rotherham (W5 D2) since a 0-2 defeat in September 2014. And at Ewood Park against Blackburn, Rotherham have lost each of their last eight matches in all competitions.

I have a funny feeling the Millers' pain is set to continue as Blackburn are in sparkling form at home, losing only one of their eight home Championship games this season (W3 D4).

The 1-0 win over QPR last weekend saw Rovers move a point from a play-off position and their trajectory is on an upward curve.

Rotherham simply don't have the ammunition to blow Rovers off track. They've taken only two points and scored just three goals in their eight league matches on the road, which is the Championship's worst away record this season. Having said that they did spring a shock by beating Swansea 1-0 last weekend to maintain a three-point gap between them and the drop-zone. But you can't back Rotherham away from home.

Back a goal in the first half too as Blackburn have been winning at both half time and full time in their last five home matches against Rotherham.

Rotherham are stubborn and will be seeking to subdue Rovers' striker Bradley Dack, who has bagged nine goals in his 14 appearances in all competitions this season.

I'm taking a convincing home win with Dack to grab a goal along the way at [3.19].

On-song Derby face a Villa side still finding the formula

Derby [2.12] v Aston Villa [3.75]; The Draw [3.65]

Derby, or Frank Lampard's Derby as they have been renamed, have risen into the play-off berths and seem to be there for the long haul.

Unbeaten in six league matches and without a defeat in their last seven at home, Derby look the real deal and anything less than promotion this season will be a disappointment.

But in Villa, Lampard pits his side against a team with equally lofty aspirations - they just haven't got the points yet this season to match the ambition. Dean Smith's Villa side responded to successive defeats against Norwich and QPR with a strong win against Bolton last weekend.

The Villains have lost their last three away games, but have scored in five of the last six matches on their travels and Both Teams To Score is a definite play.

The dugouts see Lampard and Villa's assistant manager John Terry going head-to-head for the first time since their prolific Chelsea playing days. Who comes out on top?

For me, Derby win and BTTS at [3.98] is what you should be sticking on your betting slip.

***

*You can follow James on Twitter - @football_badger

James Buttler on 2018/19 Championship

Staked: 64 pts
Returned: 62.66 pts
P/L: -1.34 pts

*based on 1pt each bet, 2pts best bet

Join today

Discover the latest articles

Read past articles