The UEFA Nations League begins tonight, and Kev's taking us to Oslo to celebrate.
"Norway have won all of their friendlies in 2018, and they have looked much stronger since Lars Lagerback took charge."
Norway v Cyprus
Thursday 06 September, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button
Norway's upward curve to continue
As it turned out, the butcher, the baker and the candlestick maker (and the YouTuber) did better than we expected, and Denmark's ragtag band of players only lost 3-0 in Slovakia last night. That left us a couple of goals short of where we needed to be to make it three winners from three picks.
Seeing as the new UEFA Nations League is kicking off tonight, we'll head to Norway to take in one of the games. The hosts are up against Cyprus in Oslo, and I fancy a rejuvenated Norway to make their mark.
After a period of decline, Norway have looked a lot sharper since Lars Lagerback took the helm. The former Sweden and Iceland coach has made a habit of maximising resources, and his work with Iceland alongside Heimir Halgrimsson was truly remarkable.
Norway have won all four of their friendlies in 2018, including a victory against Iceland and a 4-1 thrashing of Australia. They haven't lost a home game since August 2016, a run of seven games.
Cyprus have lost six of their last seven games if you include friendlies, and if you examine their away form in the recent World Cup qualifiers, you see that they lost every single game apart from a deeply unimpressive 2-1 victory away to Gibraltar. That victory over the group's worst side was the only away game they scored in.
I reckon Norway have the players and the coaching backup to win this with a bit to spare, so I'll back them -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at a healthy [2.25].
Points Staked: 130
Points Returned: 137.35
P/L: +7.35 points