Simon Mail previews this weekend's Premier League game at Newcastle and thinks it could be another tough afternoon for Rafa Benitez's side...
"Bournemouth have been excellent this season winning their last two away matches convincingly. The Cherries have also won on both of their last two trips to Newcastle and could not be returning with more confidence."
Newcastle v Bournemouth
Magpies off mark after long wait for win
It has been a tough start to the season for Newcastle with Rafa Benitez's squad lacking depth and minimal spending unsurprisingly seeing them suffer at the wrong end of the Premier League table. The Spaniard did superbly to steer United to tenth last season but a repeat always looked unlikely due to the lack of investment at St James' Park.
Newcastle struggled in the first few months of this campaign and failed to secure a win in their opening ten league matches. This run came to a much-needed end last weekend though in their 1-0 home victory over Watford. It was a fortunate result but enough to take them out of the relegation zone.
High-scoring Bournemouth flying
Bournemouth have made an exceptional start to the season with Eddie Howe's side sixth in the division on merit. It has been a path of solid consolidation since their promotion in 2015 but the signs are the Cherries are ready to take the next step in their development. With six wins from their opening 11 matches, Bournemouth are within four points of the top-four.
In previous seasons, away wins have been hard to come by but Bournemouth have had no problems so far after thrashing Watford 4-0 at Vicarage Road before a 3-0 victory at Fulham. The Cherries dominated the first half at home to Manchester United last weekend but were unable to add to their early goal and unlucky to lose 2-1 after a late Marcus Rashford goal.
Cherries generously priced for success
Newcastle are [3.0] for the match with the hosts deemed slight outsiders. This is the correct assessment because Benitez's side have a terrible record this season. The Magpies have lost five of their six home fixtures and last week's win over Watford flattered them. Seven goals from 11 fixtures is a poor return and their price is not big enough to warrant a bet.
The visitors are [2.62] favourites for the clash and this looks well worth backing. Bournemouth have been excellent this season winning their last two away matches convincingly. The Cherries have also won on both of their last two trips to Newcastle and could not be returning with more confidence.
A stalemate is priced at around [3.45] and the most recent meeting between the teams finished 2-2 at the Vitality Stadium back in February. But Bournemouth have not drawn away from home since March and Howe's attacking team are set out to win games. The best bet in this market is to stick with the vibrant visitors and back them to pile the pressure on Newcastle.
Goals have come late in Premier League matches between the two teams with five of the seven scored in the 80th minute or later. Newcastle have also only scored one first-half goal at home this season so this opens up a potential Same Game Multi angle. Backing Bournemouth to win and Newcastle to score under 0.5 goals in the first half inflates the odds on an away victory up to 3.25.
Only Harry Kane (5) has scored more away goals than Bournemouth's Callum Wilson in the Premier League during this campaign (4). Wilson, who has been named in England's squad after scoring six league goals this season, can be backed to add to his tally this weekend at 9/5.
Follow Simon's bets on Twitter @watfordtipster
Premier League 2018-19 P/L
Back Bournemouth to win at [2.62]