Against All Odds: PSG to lose the battle but win the war

Rolland Courbis will be hoping to give the home fans a decent farewell to the season
Rolland Courbis will be hoping to give the home fans a decent farewell to the season

It's action from France for Paul Robinson today as he thinks that PSG can be opposed at odds-on for their trip to Montpellier.

"Rolland Courbis’ side have picked up 10 points from a possible 12 of late at Stade de la Mosson and their overall record in front of their own fans this term is played 18, won 11, drawn two and lost five."

Lay PSG v Montpellier @ 1.574/7

Montpellier v PSG
Saturday May 16, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 2

PSG travel to Montpellier knowing that a point will absolutely guarantee the Ligue One title for a third successive year. That's part of the reasoning for this selection as winning the league is all that matters to Laurent Blanc and his players so if the scores are level going into the final minutes of the game, it's not likely that they'll be pushing hard for the victory.

There are other reasons though and one of them is Montpellier's home record. Rolland Courbis' side have picked up 10 points from a possible 12 of late at Stade de la Mosson and their overall record in front of their own fans this term is played 18, won 11, drawn two and lost five.

The visitors are flying at the moment - seven wins on the bounce - but four of those came at home and they've only won half of their away fixtures this campaign. Furthermore, Thiago Motta, David Luiz and Marco Verratti are all scheduled to be missing and The Parisians haven't won on this ground in the league since 2011.

I expect that there will be a party for PSG come the final whistle tonight, but I'm not convinced that it will be because of them taking all three points. That's why, with their price trading at around the 1.574/7 mark, I have to make them my lay of the day.

Recommended Bet
Lay PSG v Montpellier @ 1.574/7

2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 133 pts
Returned: 106.8 pts
P/L: - 26.20 pts (after commission)
(2014 P/L: + 17.34 pts)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)

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