After an odds-against winner in Portugal, Kev's looking for more success in France, as Monaco bid to reach a major cup final against Montpellier.
"Montpellier were hammered 4-0 at PSG at the weekend, and although Monaco have a big game coming up against Lyon, I expect them to take this seriously."
Monaco v Montpellier
Wednesday 31 January, 20:05
Live on BT Sport 3
A Portuguese pick-me-up to take us back into the black, as Braga did the business and beat Aves 2-0 last night. Who needs transfers for excitement, eh?
We're off to France for a big cup game tonight, as Monaco take on Montpellier in the semi-final of the Coupe de la Ligue. Although this is the third most important domestic trophy in the French calendar, trying to lift it is still a worthwhile endeavour, and it represents Monaco's last chance to win something this season.
Monaco were never likely to retain the Ligue 1 title, given the fact they had lost Bernardo Silva, Kylian Mbappe and Tiemoue Bakayoko in the summer. They are instead fighting for Champions League qualification, having dropped out of this year's UCL at the group stage. Although there is a huge league game coming up against Lyon, I'd be surprised if coach Leonardo Jardim weakened his team too much with an appearance at a final on the line.
Montpellier are having a good season, even though they are way behind the top four. They have been tough to break down, conceding just 19 goals in 23 games in Ligue 1. I suspect it is their ability to batten down the hatches which has contributed to Monaco's price of [1.83] to win the tie in 90 minutes.
However, it's worth noting that Montpellier were smashed 4-0 at PSG at the weekend, they've only won three of their 11 league matches on the road, and they recently struggled past National 3 side Pontarlier on penalties in the Coupe de France. This is a tough but limited Montpellier side, and I think Monaco are worth backing for the win.
Points Staked: 15
Points Returned: 15.2
P/L: +0.2 points