Dave Farrar predicts overs galore in Toronto and Boston, while New York City FC can conquer LA. as he previews this weekend's MLS action...
“With four of their last six games having featured at least four goals, Over 3.5 Goals in this one looks a fairly solid bet.”
Toronto FC v Portland Timbers
Live on Sky Sports Football
Toronto FC might have slipped up at DC United last week, but they still look like the best team in MLS and should go very close again to winning a first MLS Cup.
They host the Portland Timbers on Saturday night, and with four of their last six games having featured at least four goals, Over 3.5 Goals in this one looks a fairly solid bet.
There always seem to be goals when the Timbers are around, with four of their last five going Over 3.5, and I expect that to happen again.
I suspect that Caleb Porter would love to run a side that could defend solidly and sensibly, and hit teams on the counter, but that's not really the Timbers' way, and Diego Valeri, Sebastian Blanco and Fanendo Adi can hurt any defence in MLS.
They may even defend a little better now that Liam Ridgewell (a goalscorer last week) is back from injury, but they'll still give up space to Sebastian Giovinco and co, and while I think Portland are in with a chance of getting something here, I believe it could be a high-scoring draw.
Back Over 3.5 Goals in TFC v Portland Timbers @ [2.6]
New England Revolution v Vancouver Whitecaps
The Vancouver Whitecaps will head for New England in great spirits: having won at FC Dallas and then played well in Colorado, they finish their road trip at a New England Revolution side who have been fun to watch lately.
The Revs will struggle to make the play-offs and currently sit second bottom in the East, but three of their last five games have featured Over 4.5 Goals, including that crazy 4-3 win against the LA Galaxy a couple of weeks ago.
The Whitecaps are unbeaten in their last three games away from home, and have outscored the opposition by seven goals to two over that period, and Karl Robinson clearly feels that a forceful style of play is the way to go on their travels.
The Whitecaps have every chance of emerging from New England with a win, and are attractively priced at around the [5.4] mark to do so, but goals have to be the bet, as they so often are when New England are around.
Back Over 3.5 Goals in New England Revolution v Vancouver Whitecaps @ [2.5]
LA Galaxy v NYCFC
Live on Sky Sports Football
Given the influence that he's had in his short time in MLS, it was surprising that last week's hat-trick in the Hudson River derby was David Villa's first, and he'll head to the LA Galaxy with a team that feels it should come back from California with three points.
NYCFC might just be Toronto's biggest rivals for MLS Cup glory, and that win last week marked a real upturn in performance. I favoured the Red Bulls to win the derby, but NYCFC were too good, and showed that they'd recovered well from their humbling in Toronto the previous week.
Sigi Schmid has a real job on his hands with the Galaxy. I thought that they might get something against Portland last week, but they were poor, and Schmid is going to struggle to get a tune out of a team that is still suffering from Curt Onalfo's horrible spell in charge.
NYCFC are simply the better team, and even though they haven't beaten LA in their short MLS history, now could be the time. Much has been made of the arrival of Jonathan Dos Santos in California, but he alone can't turn their fortunes around, and it will take a superhuman effort for Schmid's team to get anything out of this one.
Back NYCFC to beat LA Galaxy @ [2.7]
Staked: 66 points
Returned: 81.45 points
P/L: + 15.45 points