Football Bet of the Day: Lugo to say no to marriage of convenience

Spanish football fans
We're off to sunny Spain this Tuesday

We're being whisked off to Spain by our Kev, and he's refusing to believe that two second-tier strugglers will merely play for a draw.

"Tenerife haven't drawn a game since the end of March, and their recent away form is very poor."

Lay the draw at 1.9620/21

Don't expect a gentlemen's agreement

Lugo v Tenerife
Tuesday 04 June, 20:00

Longford left us longing last night - they built a 2-0 lead against Galway United, but let slip a goal to deny us an odds-against winner via the Asian Handicap. At least we got our stake back.

We'll head to Spain now, because we're flying towards the end of the season in the Segunda Division. Both Lugo and Tenerife are hovering above the dropzone, and the market seems to think there'll be some kind of entente cordiale between the sides. I'm not so sure it'll be that cosy.

The only team currently in the dropzone that can still escape is Rayo Majadahonda, and they are currently on 42 points. They are three points adrift of Lugo, and four behind Tenerife. Given that Rayo have taken two points from their last seven games, and that they have to visit promotion-chasing Real Oviedo tonight, it might not be necessary for both teams to settle for the draw. After all, Rayo were recently held to a goalless draw by relegated Cordoba.

Lugo have been much improved since Eloy Jimenez took charge, and they have taken eight points from their last four matches. They are four games unbeaten at the Estadio Anxo Carro. Tenerife have lost their last three on the road, and they have lost four of their last six games overall.

I understand that these two sides have had a lot of draws this term (15/40 for Lugo and 16/40 for Tenerife) and that a stalemate may or may not be convenient, but odds-on seems far too short for the draw here. Tenerife haven't drawn a game since late March, and Lugo have been in good shape recently. Call me naïve, but I'll lay the draw here at 1.9620/21.

2019 P/L

Points Staked: 69
Points Returned: 61.04
P/L: -7.96 points

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