League One Betting: Back the Lions for success on Saturday

Millwall manager Neil Harris (centre) during his playing days
Millwall manager Neil Harris (centre) during his playing days

Alan Dudman's last six selections have all won, he's hoping to continue in good form with three more matches in League One this weekend...


"Colchester meanwhile are shipping too many goals, and at 37 currently, they have conceded the most in League One by some way. I'd be fairly confident Millwall could score at least one on Saturday. And no doubt with their clean sheet record recently, the Millwall To Win To Nil market should also be considered."

Back Millwall to win @ 1.9010/11

Oldham Athletic 2.9215/8 v Barnsley 2.608/5, the draw 3.505/2

I cannot quite understand why Barnsley are favourites here. The Tykes are currently suffering their worst run of results since 1959 - netting eight successive losses in League One. And yet away from home they trade shorter.

What of Oldham? Perhaps it is their terrible home record. With only one success all season on their own patch, those odds might have to be pushing 2/1 to get involved. It's the sort of match I do not want to back either team in the outright.

The Under 2.5 Goals is the one. Barnsley have scored only 20 goals from 17 games so far, a fairly meagre return which has not helped their cause, and for a side that had aspirations of getting out of the third tier, they are 23rd with only the woeful Crewe below.

Under-fire Barnsley boss Lee Johnson will be facing intense scrutiny. He has moved in the transfer market, bringing in speedy Aidy White from Rotherham and Kevin Long from Burnley. Both are defenders, with the pair arriving on short-term loans.

Loan deals look panic buys sometimes. A man under pressure has to be seen bringing in faces or changing things. Yet with a transfer window, you are stuck, or in this case Johnson is stuck. Free agents are unfit, so it has to be a loan. I like White though, he is a good, quicksilver left-sided full-back, but Barnsley need to score goals.

Plus, with a side so short on confidence, Barnsley will do all they can for a point to address the slide.


Key Opta Stats: Oldham have gone 15 games without a clean sheet against Barnsley - shipping 27 goals. Barnsley have recorded the fewest points in League One away from home (4).

Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.855/6 (half point)


Wigan Athletic 1.794/5 v Shrewsbury Town 5.509/2, the draw 4.03/1

Wigan are looking fairly ominous at the moment, and following a convincing 2-0 success at Rochdale last weekend (a winning tip here), the Latics are now 7/2 on the Sportsbook to win the League One title.

Gary Caldwell's side looked every-inch a contender on Sky TV last Saturday; and so they should given the money spent on the likes of Will Grigg. But their performance was nice and solid, calm and cool, with the magic of Yanic Wildschut thrown in.

The 24-year-old is earning rave reviews at the DW, with the on-loan Middlesbrough winger producing a series of mind-boggling displays. Few players get the pulses racing at this level, but Wildschut does that. Described as a flying machine, he seems to drift through defenders like osmosis, and he adds to Wigan's tremendous speed on the counter-attack.

Caldwell also has a defence that is rather adept at soaking up pressure; which is why they have lost just twice in their last 16 games, and have conceded three goals in five matches (with three clean sheets).

The hosts in the Half-Time/Full-Time market will interest some at 2.6413/8, but I still think around 1.758/11 you are getting a price on a side that will be hunting down the title come the end of the season.

Key Opta Stats: Wigan are unbeaten in 10 League One matches (won five, drawn five), their best run of form since 2004. The Shrews have lost four successive away games in this tier for the first time since 2013.

Recommended Bet
Back Wigan Atheltic to win @ 1.794/5 (half point)


Millwall 1.9010/11 v Colchester United 4.507/2, the draw 3.65

Despite the early season wobbles at the New Den, Millwall have found their feet in south London, and have won three of their last four. They are also keeping clean sheets - with four on the spin in all competitions.

The hosts might have a problem or two at the back for Saturday - especially given that skipper Tony Craig has been ruled out for the season. Manager Neil Harris however is confident that his squad is strong enough to deal with such eventualities.

Out of a host of odds-on and short-priced home sides this weekend, the Lions look fair enough at around 4/5. Saturday's 0-0 home draw against Bradford was not a bad result, as Harris commented: "It was two good teams cancelling each other out."

I expect the Londoners to use their front two (who have a physical presence) well, and are best at the New Den when whipping in plenty of crosses. They do have a bit of quality in the final third, and Aidan O'Brien usually provides the width.

Colchester meanwhile are shipping too many goals, and at 37 currently, they have conceded the most in League One by some way. I'd be fairly confident Millwall could score at least one on Saturday. And no doubt with their clean sheet record recently, the Millwall To Win To Nil market should also be considered.

Key Opta Stats: Millwall have won eight of their last nine meetings with Colchester. The Lions haven't conceded in any of their last three home matches, something they last did in August 2014.

Recommended Bet
Back Millwall to win @ 1.9010/11 (half point)


*You can read more League One tips as well as Ian Lamont's thoughts on the week's League Two action by visiting our dedicated English Football League section here on Betting.Betfair.


2015 P/L

League One - 3.02

FA Cup +4.60

Get a Free £/€20 Exchange Bet

  • Join Now - Open account using promo code VAL225
  • Bet - Place a £/€20 Bet on the Exchange
  • Earn We'll Refund You £/€20 If the Bet Loses
Bet now

T&Cs apply.

Read past articles