Walsall 2.3411/8 v Peterborough United 3.6013/5, the draw 3.45
It is not often you would see the League One leaders trade at 2.3411/8 for a home match, but that is the situation we are faced with for Monday, as Walsall head into a crunch game (against a main rival) with four successive victories.
And for a late Christmas treat, this looks one of the best matches of the day. The hosts have the joint-best defence in the division alongside Burton with just 19 goals conceded. They face the most superior attacking side at this level in Peterborough, who have scored 49 times this term.
I like both teams and their style. Walsall play neat and attractive football, and the transition from departing manager Dean Smith to Sean O'Driscoll has been as smooth as silk. But Peterborough at 3.6013/5 looks a massive price.
The Posh are trading at 14.50 for the title with the Saddlers at 3.65, and I would fancy the former. Peterborough completely outplayed Chesterfield on Boxing Day to secure a 2-0 success, a game in which they were thoroughly dominant with 26 attempts on goal (to three for their opponents). United boss Graham Westley pulled a rabbit out of the hat with an inspired tactical move; playing Marcus Maddison at left-back. His quality of cross is a cut-above, and he was superb on Saturday. I may be biased, but I love a left-footed crosser.
Westley mentioned afterwards how his team do the dirty things well and in patches have great quality. He also praised in-form striker Conor Washington - who now has 11 in as many games, now rated as the best forward in the league by his manager.
The layers have now cottoned on to Peterborough at home - as they were trading at 1.654/6 for Saturday. And for a team with so many decent players, you might not see them as big as 3.6013/5 for a while.
Back Peterborough United in draw no bet @ 2.407/5 (half point)
Gillingham 1.804/5 v Colchester United 5.104/1, the draw 3.8014/5
What's in a name? If Colchester were Crewe, they would be trading at 9.008/1. The U's have lost eight games on the spin, haven't kept a clean sheet since September, and have the worst defence in League One. Crewe are seen as the whipping boys in this division and always trade at a massive price on their travels, and my point is that if the Alex had Colchester's record - they would be nearly double figures for this.
It's not my thing laying 4/1 shots, but I reckon there'll be a few looking to press the pink button on Monday.
Opponents also make a price, and given the frailties of the Essex side; Gillingham should be a 1/2 shot - which makes them a bet even though they are odds-on.
Gills boss Justin Edinburgh revealed in midweek that he felt his side have massively overachieved. But they are third heading into the new year and are only a point behind the joint-leaders Walsall and Burton.
They are big and strong and play to their strengths. Organisation goes a long way at this level, and Gillingham know their jobs. They hit the channels well, have two good full-backs (that seems essential in League One), and they have a goal in them (with a bit of devil) with Bradley Dack.
Edinburgh's side beat in-form Swindon 3-1 on Boxing Day, and their pressing once again proved the key. I highlighted before that affair how the Gills score early in games - and they did so again on 19 minutes - immediately cancelling out an early Swindon goal.
We have a side that scores against a team that concedes plenty. I would also anticipate the Colchester 'Not to keep a clean sheet' price to be around 1.3030/100.
Back Gillingham to win @ 1.804/5 (half point)
Crewe Alexandra 3.02/1 v Shrewsbury Town 2.506/4, the draw 3.505/2
Only three points separate these two, but Crewe will be accustomed by their surroundings near the foot of the table, and this is the time of year that usually provides the springboard for their annual League One safety rally - and it has for the previous two seasons.
The Alex have shown some encouraging displays recently, and indeed great character after their 5-1 hammering at the hands of Peterborough. Immediately after that defeat, Crewe responded with a 1-0 victory over Oldham, and a 1-1 draw with Fleetwood.
Manager Steve Davis brought in veteran forward Ryan Lowe recently, and the 37-year-old is just what a squad with an average age of 22 needs - especially at this level. Lowe himself has bagged two in three as he chases a landmark figure of 200 career goals.
Shrewsbury are not the type of team to hit you with great attacking football. Their manager Micky Mellon has frequently spoken of the need not to lose against sides in and around the relegation zone. With Salop's last three games all under 2.5 goals - this is where this is heading.
Mellon also will be ruing the loss of Crystal Palace defender Sullay Kaikai - whose pace was a big asset for a team that plays with a high line.
However, Crewe are not out of this, and from their previous five home matches (including the Posh 5-1 loss); they have won twice by the margin of 1-0, lost 0-1 and drew 1-1. So they should be at least good enough to stay in this match over the 90 minutes. Plus they had a cancellation on Boxing Day, so will be much fresher than Shrewsbury who were in action against Fleetwood.
And if you fancy Crewe to pull of another great escape - they are 1.201/5 for relegation.
Back Crewe in draw no bet market @ 2.206/5 (half point)
Back under 2.5 goals @ 1.855/6 (half point)