It's the 'Derby della Capitale' in Italy this evening and Paul Robinson thinks that the referee will be reaching for his top pocket when Lazio take on Roma.
"In the last nine meetings between the pair there have been nine red cards."
Lazio v Roma
Monday May 25, 17:00 BST
Live on BT Sport 1
Yesterday's match between Tigre and River Plate was postponed due to tragic circumstances in the country and while any bets will come under the three day rule, due to River Plate's schedule, there is no chance that it will be played any time soon, thus making any bets void.
On to today's fixture now and the whole of Rome will have their eyes on this one. These two rivals will finish second and third in Serie A but which way round has implications for next season. The runners-up to Juventus will go straight into the Champions League group phase while the third will have to go through a qualifying round.
It's Rudi García's side who hold the advantage as Roma are one point ahead. That means that a win tonight would secure second but that's something they've only managed to achieve six times in their last 19 Serie A outings.
Stefano Pioli's men have to put their Coppa Italia misery behind them following their extra time loss to Juventus in the week. They will be desperate to win tonight as they need to get ahead of Roma now as The Yellow-Reds have a home game with Palermo to come, while they have to travel to Napoli on the final day.
It's cards that we're interested in today and this fixture is usual quite tasty in that respect. In the last nine meetings between the pair there have been nine red cards. I must add that there hasn't been one in every game as some have had two, but that is still an abnormally high amount.
The man in charge is also card happy as Nicola Rizzoli has shown 52 yellows and one red in his last eight competitive matches. Obviously we would prefer him to have sent more people off, but the amount of bookings shows that he isn't one to let things go.
With so much on the line, the history of the clubs and a card happy ref, laying 'No' in the Sending Off market seems like great value at 1.684/6, which is why I am making it my lay of the day.
Lay 'No' in the Sending Off? Market @ 1.684/6
2015 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 141 pts
Returned: 113.97 pts
P/L: - 27.03 pts (after commission)
(2014 P/L: + 17.34 pts)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)