Palace good value to get the win
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
Saturday 15:00 BST
Bournemouth got a very late equaliser against Watford last weekend, as Jermain Defoe's goal earned the Cherries a point, the least they deserved after an impressive performance (xG: WAT 0.8 - 2.3 BOU).
While they may have been unlucky in that game, Eddie Howe's side have shown a defensive vulnerability. In their last six matches, they have conceded 14.8 xG, averaging a staggering 2.5 xG per game in that time.
Crystal Palace once again performed very well without getting the result they deserved as they beaten 2-1 by Liverpool last weekend, with the chances created suggesting they deserved at least a point (xG: CRY 2.0 - 1.8 LIV).
That defeat leaves them just two points above the relegation zone, but Roy Hodgson's side have been the seventh best team this season based on performances and are one of only two teams outside the top six to have a positive expected goal difference (xGD 2.2). At a huge price of 19/10, they look great value to get the win here.
Foxes to prove too strong
Leicester vs Newcastle
Saturday 15:00 BST
Leicester are in good form at the moment, having won two and drawn two of their last four Premier League games. Their win against Brighton last time out was a fortunate one, though, with the Foxes second-best according to quality of chances created (xG: BRI 1.8 - 1.1 LEI).
Their xGD in their last four matches is 4.3, showing just how impressive they have been, and their two best performances in that time have come in home matches against Stoke (xG: LEI 1.8 - 0.5 STO) and Bournemouth (xG: LEI 3.1 - 1.5 BOU) - both finishing in draws when they deserved to win.
Newcastle come into this game on the back of three wins in their last four matches. Their latest 1-0 win against Huddersfield moved them seven points clear of the drop-zone, and it was one of their best displays of the season to date (xG: NEW 2.8 - 0.3 HUD).
Newcastle may be in good form, but their defensive process still could do with improvement, as they have averaged 1.6 xGA per game this season. Leicester can take advantage of this, and look good value at 19/20 to get another win.
Expect an entertaining game in Vigo
Celta Vigo vs Sevilla
Saturday 15:15 BST
Celta Vigo remain in ninth position after a 1-1 draw with Athletic Bilbao last time out, though it was another game in which they were fortunate to get anything based on quality of chances created (xG: BIL 2.1 - 0.8 CEL).
One thing is for certain, though; Celta Vigo are a very entertaining team to watch, as they create and concede a lot of chances. They are averaging 1.6 xGF per game, and 1.7 xGA per game, so there are usually goals when they play.
Sevilla have had a tough week. First they were unfortunate to let a 2-0 lead slip against Barcelona when they should have won the game comfortably (xG: SEV 3.0 - 1.8 BAR), and they were then beaten by Bayern Munich 2-1 in the Champions League (xG: SEV 1.1 - 1.6 BAY).
Vincenzo Montella's side find themselves out of the top six and behind bitter rivals Real Betis, so will be looking to finish the season strongly. Like Celta, they create and concede a lot of chances in matches (xGF and xGA of 1.7), so the 8/11 price about both teams to score looks generous.
Levante to seal Las Palmas fate
Levante vs Las Palmas
Sunday 11:00 BST
Live on Sky Sports Football
A few weeks ago this match would have been a relegation six-pointer. But with seven points between the sides after Levante's renaissance under new coach Francisco Jose Fernandez, the game doesn't carry as much significance as it could have.
Levante are unbeaten in four matches, with two wins in that time, and it seems as though the new manager has improved their attacking process, as they have been generating more chances (1.7 xG per game compared to 1.3 xG).
Las Palmas have had a dismal season. They have been the worst team in the league, having conceded 64.6 xG in 30 matches (2.2 xG per game), and it is looking very likely that they will suffer relegation.
It's last chance saloon time for Las Palmas, but with how poor they are in defence, the in-form home team Levante - who are creating a lot of chances - look good value at 10/11 to get the three points.