Football Tips: The best bets this week from the Football...Only Bettor podcast team

David De Gea and Kasper Schmeichel
Will both David De Gea and Kasper Schmeichel concede at the King Power?

On this week's Football...Only Bettor Kevin Hatchard is joined by Mark O'Haire, Jake Osgathorpe and Betfair's Jason Murphy to picks bets for the Premier League's final round this Sunday...

"United have only won half their games since the restart, all against lower ranked sides, and the draw is a big runner here at 3.7511/4 especially as the visitors only need a point. Both teams to score at 1.758/11 is also fair enough."

Leicester v Manchester United

Mark: "It's only six wins in 21 for Leicester. They haven't looked themselves since the 4-0 defeat at home to Liverpool on Boxing Day. On the other hand, they've only suffered three defeats at home all season so 3.211/5 looks a little on the big side.

"United have only won half their games since the restart, all against lower-ranked sides, and the draw is a big runner here at 3.7511/4 especially as the visitors only need a point. Both teams to score at 1.758/11 is also fair enough."

Jake: "The Infogol model has Leicester as favourites but I'd be wary of backing them especially as a point might suit both depending on what happens with Chelsea. The preferred angle is over 2.5 at 1.9520/21 - Leicester are likely to dominate the ball which will suit United. But United have had a hectic schedule so they are likely to concede chances as well."

Wolves v Chelsea

Mark: "Chelsea are too short at 1.9520/21, given their defensive frailties at set pieces and the poor form of Kepa. They've only won two of their nine games against the top six while Wolves have only lost four in 18 away and are on the big side at 4.47/2.

"I'll dip into the Same Game Multi for my bet - Wolves to score and Wolves with a two-goal headstart is 1.758/11 which looks good value given how good they are at limiting chances."

Manchester City v Norwich

Jason: "I had a look at the last day stats for the last seven seasons (meaning West Brom 5-5 Man Utd doesn't skew the figures) and the average number of goals in the PL is 33, compared to an average of 27/28 for the rest of the rounds, so there are more goals.

"A possible angle to attack this weekend is in the City v Norwich game where over 5.5 goals is 3.953/1. City need three goals to hit the 100 mark and you wouldn't be surprised to see Norwich on the scoresheet. This is one to keep an eye on in-play - a lot of the betting models don't take the last day trends into account so you can find potential value."

Arsenal v Watford

Jake: "Arsenal have nothing to play for and are likely to rotate ahead of the FA Cup final so I'm happy to lay them here at odds-on. They have the fourth worst xG since the restart and I can see Watford nicking a point."

Southampton v Sheff Utd

Jason: "Southampton are top six based on the season handicaps from the start of the season and have been showing no signs of lack of motivation. Saints look like a bet at 2.35/4 against Sheff Utd."

Crystal Palace v Spurs

Mark: "Palace are on their holidays, it's now seven defeats on the spin and they are missing Sakho, Tomkins and Cahill here, basically all their first choice centre-backs. Spurs have won five, drawn two, lost one since the restart and should get the three points here but I will boost the price to 2.77/4 by adding win to nil. Palace have scored 30 goals all season and are often lining up with three defensive midfielders."

Championship Playoffs

Jason: "Brentford are the best team in the playoffs. We saw a few bets for Swansea with people jumping on the 'momentum' bandwagon but they look a little short. In the last 20 playoffs, the team coming third has been promoted 45% of the times so I'm happy to back the Bees."

Jake: "The market isn't doing Cardiff justice. They are around 3.02/1 to beat Fulham in the first leg at home and that is interesting. They finished the season really well and Fulham aren't the best travellers."

Podcast Treble: Burnley, Everton and FC Basel to win at 8/1

Barker's Battle

Jake: Antonio FGS v Villa at 6/1
Mark: Everton (-1) v Bournemouth at 3.55/2
Kev: Man Utd to beat Leicester and Fernandes to score at 4.84/1
Caroline: Helsinki to beat Ilves at 1.75/7
Andy: Sassuolo to beat Napoli at 5.79/2

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