Kev's having one more crack at Peru tonight, and is hoping to see a tight, defensive contest.
"Sport Huancayo's last four home games have featured fewer than three goals, and Academia are struggling to score consistently on their travels."
Sport Huancayo v Academia Cantolao
Thursday 07 June, 23:45
Don't expect a Peruvian party
Our boys Real Garcilaso were involved in a six-goal thriller last night at Sporting Cristal. Let's just leave it at that, shall we?
We...ahem...don't have enough money left to leave Peru after last night's debacle, so let's try to win enough for a plane ticket out tonight, as Sport Huancayo take on Academia Cantolao.
Sport Huancayo have only existed since 2007, and the 2008 Copa Peru has yielded their only major honour to date. They aren't exactly in sparkling form - they haven't won at home for nearly two months, and they have only won one of their last seven league games overall.
I was tempted to lay the hosts at [1.52], but then I considered the away form of tonight's opponents Academia Cantolao. They haven't won on the road in the league since the first week of February and they have lost four of their last five away from their base in Callao.
Instead I'm quite tempted by the prospect of backing Under 2.5 Goals at [2.24]. Sport Huancayo's last four home games have featured fewer than three goals, while Academia have drawn a blank in five of their last eight away matches.
Points Staked: 86
Points Returned: 90.87
P/L: +4.87 points