We're off to Iceland this evening, because Kev thinks he's found a game that won't set the pulse racing as much as the market thinks.
"Keflavik have scored just one goal in their last seven games, and Fjolnir have only netted eight times at home all season."
Fjolnir v Keflavik
Wednesday 08 August, 20:15
Misfiring attacks to struggle again
Just like when you think you've correctly assembled IKEA furniture, only for it to collapse after you omitted a critical step, our Swedish joy was short-lived last night. Our boys Falkenbergs led from the 25th minute until the 67th minute against Orgryte, but had to settle for a 1-1 draw.
We're making the short hop to Iceland now, to take in a basement battle between Fjolnir and Keflavik. Both teams are in the relegation zone in the top-flight Urvalsdeild.
Keflavik have the worst record in the division, having claimed just three points from their opening 14 games of the campaign. They have scored a pitiful seven goals in that sequence.
Fjolnir are only ten points better off, and they have only managed 15 goals in their 14 outings. On home soil, they have won just once, and scored just eight goals.
The market expects goals here, presumably because both teams have such bad defensive records (they have leaked 54 goals between them across the first 14 matchdays.) However, this is a huge opportunity for Fjonir to boost their chances of survival, and as such a bit of tension and caution may creep in. Fjolnir have scored more than one goal in just one of their last nine outings in league and cup, while Keflavik have scored just once in their last seven matches.
Under 2.5 Goals is trading at a hefty [2.48], and that's a bet I'm happy to make.
Points Staked: 115
Points Returned: 120.02
P/L: +5.02 points