European Football Tips: Sampdoria visit to Ferrara not likely to help SPAL relegation chances

Road wins have been elusive for Il Samp but Spal may be an easy mark for them this week
Road wins have been elusive for Il Samp but Spal may be an easy mark for them this week
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Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers...

France Ligue-1
Caen v Paris SG
Saturday, May 19, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [4.1] Draw [3.9] Away [1.7]
Fair Value Odds - Home [19.0] Draw [9.2] Away [1.2]

Recommended Bet: Back Paris SG above fair value


Spain Primera-Division
Las Palmas v Girona
Saturday, May 19, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.94] Draw [3.5] Away [2.14]
Fair Value Odds - Home [4.6] Draw [3.7] Away [1.95]

Recommended Bet: Back Girona above fair value


Spain Primera-Division
Villarreal v Real Madrid
Saturday, May 19, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.54] Draw [3.9] Away [2.3]
Fair Value Odds - Home [4.2] Draw [4.2] Away [1.94]

Recommended Bet: Back Real Madrid above fair value


Austria Bundesliga
St. Polten v Austria Vienna
Sunday, May 20, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [3.05] Draw [3.65] Away [2.1]
Fair Value Odds - Home [5.6] Draw [4.4] Away [1.68]

Recommended Bet: Back Austria Vienna above fair value


Italy Serie-A
Spal v Sampdoria
Sunday, May 20, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [1.6] Draw [3.9] Away [5]
Fair Value Odds - Home [3.05] Draw [3.5] Away [2.6]

Recommended Bet: Back Sampdoria above fair value


Italy Serie-A
Cagliari v Atalanta
Sunday, May 20, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.95] Draw [3.5] Away [2.2]
Fair Value Odds - Home [7.2] Draw [4.2] Away [1.6]

Recommended Bet: Back Atalanta above fair value


Italy Serie-A
AC Milan v Fiorentina
Sunday, May 20, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [1.8] Draw [3.75] Away [4]
Fair Value Odds - Home [2.28] Draw [3.4] Away [3.65]

Recommended Bet: Back Fiorentina above fair value


Italy Serie-A
Sassuolo v AS Roma
Sunday, May 20, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [3.75] Draw [3.75] Away [1.85]
Fair Value Odds - Home [6.8] Draw [4.4] Away [1.6]

Recommended Bet: Back AS Roma above fair value


Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex


Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 434 pts
Returned: 473.0 pts
Profit: 39.0 pts or 109.0% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 245 pts
Returned: 254.0 pts
Profit: 9.0 pts or 103.6 % ROI

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