Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers...
France Ligue-1
Caen v Paris SG
Saturday, May 19, 2018
Betfair Back Odds - Home [4.1] Draw [3.9] Away [1.7]
Fair Value Odds - Home [19.0] Draw [9.2] Away [1.2]
Recommended Bet: Back Paris SG above fair value
Spain Primera-Division
Las Palmas v Girona
Saturday, May 19, 2018
Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.94] Draw [3.5] Away [2.14]
Fair Value Odds - Home [4.6] Draw [3.7] Away [1.95]
Recommended Bet: Back Girona above fair value
Spain Primera-Division
Villarreal v Real Madrid
Saturday, May 19, 2018
Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.54] Draw [3.9] Away [2.3]
Fair Value Odds - Home [4.2] Draw [4.2] Away [1.94]
Recommended Bet: Back Real Madrid above fair value
Austria Bundesliga
St. Polten v Austria Vienna
Sunday, May 20, 2018
Betfair Back Odds - Home [3.05] Draw [3.65] Away [2.1]
Fair Value Odds - Home [5.6] Draw [4.4] Away [1.68]
Recommended Bet: Back Austria Vienna above fair value
Italy Serie-A
Spal v Sampdoria
Sunday, May 20, 2018
Betfair Back Odds - Home [1.6] Draw [3.9] Away [5]
Fair Value Odds - Home [3.05] Draw [3.5] Away [2.6]
Recommended Bet: Back Sampdoria above fair value
Italy Serie-A
Cagliari v Atalanta
Sunday, May 20, 2018
Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.95] Draw [3.5] Away [2.2]
Fair Value Odds - Home [7.2] Draw [4.2] Away [1.6]
Recommended Bet: Back Atalanta above fair value
Italy Serie-A
AC Milan v Fiorentina
Sunday, May 20, 2018
Betfair Back Odds - Home [1.8] Draw [3.75] Away [4]
Fair Value Odds - Home [2.28] Draw [3.4] Away [3.65]
Recommended Bet: Back Fiorentina above fair value
Italy Serie-A
Sassuolo v AS Roma
Sunday, May 20, 2018
Betfair Back Odds - Home [3.75] Draw [3.75] Away [1.85]
Fair Value Odds - Home [6.8] Draw [4.4] Away [1.6]
Recommended Bet: Back AS Roma above fair value
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Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)
Wagered: 434 pts
Returned: 473.0 pts
Profit: 39.0 pts or 109.0% ROI
Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)
Wagered: 245 pts
Returned: 254.0 pts
Profit: 9.0 pts or 103.6 % ROI