The Bet of the Day column is posting a healthy overall profit this year, and Kevin Hatchard hopes to continue that success with a winner in Sweden.
"Ostersunds have won six and drawn two of their last eight league games, and have just beaten tonight's opponents."
Elfsborg v Ostersunds
Monday 06 August, 18:00
In-form visitors to take the win
While I was slapping on Factor 50 and wrestling with an inflatable unicorn in Alcudia, my betting compadre Tobias was busy nailing winner after winner. Last night in Peru, Deportivo Municipal did the business for TG with a 1-0 win, despite playing most of the second half with ten men.
We'll start our week in Sweden, as Elfsborg take on Ostersunds in the top-flight Allsvenskan.
It won't have escaped the notice of Ostersunds fans that the most successful coach in the club's history made a winning start to life in the Championship with Swansea City. Graham Potter lifted Ostersunds from the fourth tier of Swedish football to the first, won the Swedish Cup, reached the knockout phase of the Europa League, and beat Arsenal at the Emirates.
Potter laid solid foundations, and without him the club is still doing well. OFK are fifth, and a win tonight could take them into the top three if Norrkoping slip up. Potter's English compatriot Ian Burchnall is currently enjoying an eight-match unbeaten run which includes six wins and two draws. In their last outing, Ostersunds beat tonight's opponents Elfsborg 1-0.
Elfsborg have failed to score in each of their last three games, and they've claimed just one point from those outings. This ill-timed run has left them just three points above the drop zone. Their form at their Boras Arena has been particularly dire - they have won just once in the league on home soil.
Given the form of Ostersunds, and Elfsborg's struggles, I'll back the visitors with a bit of insurance by using the Draw No Bet market.
Points Staked: 113
Points Returned: 118.11
P/L: +5.11 points