There are two more World Cup games and an MLS fixture for Paul Robinson today and after narrowly missing out on a 13/1 shot yesterday by just a single goal, he's aiming for a more straightforward 7/2 chance today. Here are his selections:
The Acca pays approximately 7/2
Spain to show their class in the round of 16
Bet 1: Back Spain @ 8/13 - KO 15:00 BST
The Group stage was a bit of a confusing time for Spanish fans as after all the drama leading into the tournament, they played really well against Portugal, but only drew the game 3-3. They then put in two uninspired performances against Iran and Morocco - edging the former 1-0 and requiring a late VAR assisted goal to earn a point in the latter.
I am still a big believer in Fernando Hierro's men however and they are my idea as the most likely candidate to lift the trophy in two weeks time. Isco and David Silva run the show in the middle of the field from an attacking point of view, and the defence are generally solid - even if they haven't shown it in Russia yet.
The tournament hosts are their opponents here, and they will certainly have the crowd on their side. Stanislav Cherchesov's team opened up with two comfortable victories, but they were both against poor sides who didn't perform on the day. In their final group match they were brought back down to earth by Uruguay - they lost 3-0 - and this should be the end of the road for them, with Spain getting the job done inside 90 minutes.
Jamie Pachecho has covered this match in full here.
Croatia to send Denmark packing
Bet 2: Back Croatia @ 4/5 - KO 19:00 BST
There were two teams who went slightly under the radar in the group stage, in my opinion - one of them was Uruguay, who booked their place in the quarter-finals yesterday, and the other was Croatia.
Inspired by Luka Modric - who plays a more attacking role for his country than he does for his club, the Croats beat Nigeria, Argentina and Iceland - with the performance against the Argentinians being the stand-out.
The midfield area is key for them and with Modric and Rakitic pulling the strings, they prove a formidable opponent. Striker, Mario Mandzukic is on a bit of a barren run, so it will be interesting to see if he starts, having been left out against Iceland.
Denmark came through their group unbeaten as they edged out Peru by a goal to nil, before going on to draw 1-1 with Australia and 0-0 with France. The French match was a bit of a joke as the draw suited both of them, and they were lucky in their first fixture to beat Peru.
I really can't see how they will cope with Croatia this evening, as Christian Eriksen is their only player of any real quality.
Check out Mark O'Haire's view on this game.
Goals at both ends in Toronto
Bet 3: Back BTTS in Toronto v New York Red Bulls @ 1/2 - KO 21:30 BST
We conclude in the MLS for an match that should feature plenty of goals, according to the stats at least.
The hosts and defending MLS champions are only 11th in the Eastern Conference and they have some work to do to get into the Play-offs. They have lost eight of their 15 fixtures this season and with 29 goals conceded, it's not hard to see why.
The Reds were beaten 2-1 by New York City last time out and prior to that they drew 4-4 on this ground with DC United. Three of their last four here have seen this selection land, and there is no valid reason for that trend to continue tonight.
The stats are even better for the visitors as the Metros are on a run of six consecutive away games to end without there being a clean sheet for either side. They are in good form this year too, as they sit fourth in the standings, and they will fancy their chances of getting a few goals at BMO Field.
2018/19 P/L (1pt each bet)