The Daily Acca: Sport Recife to make it four from four at home

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It's an all Brazilian treble for Paul Robinson tonight as he focuses on the final stages of the Serie A season. Here are his selections:

- Back Vasco da Gama @ 7/4
- Back Under 2.5 Goals in Parana v Atletico Mineiro @ 6/10
- Back Sport Recife @ 20/23

The Acca pays approximately 7/1

Atletico PR's miserable road form to continue

Bet 1: Back Vasco da Gama @ 7/4 - KO 21:30 GMT

The hosts are dangerously close to the relegation zone with only five games of the season to go. They are 15th of 20, but the bottom four go down, and they only have a single point gap to the side in 17th.

The good news for fans of Vasco da Gama is that they are at home tonight, on a ground where they are four unbeaten - two of which were wins. They recorded victories over Bahia and Cruzeiro, and also earned draws against Flamengo and Internacional - who are third and second respectively.

Opponents, Atletico PR, are in great form themselves, but it comes with a bit of a caveat. All of their victories this term have come at home, and on the road they have played 16, drawn six and lost 10.

That is a pretty woeful record for a club who are in seventh place in the standings, and I think that whoever priced the hosts up at 7/4 have been blinded by league positions.

Don't expect goals at Parana

Bet 2: Back Under 2.5 Goals in Parana v Atletico Mineiro @ 6/10 - KO 23:00 GMT

I really wanted to tip an Atletico Mineiro victory in this game as they are taking on the already relegated, Parana. That being said, the Rooster just aren't in the kind of form that allows me to make that selection.

The visitors have gone six without a win - four defeats and two draws - and they scored just two goals during that period. They are still clinging on to a Copa Libertadores Qualifier spot, but the gap to Sao Paulo immediately above them is 11 points, while only one point separates them and the three teams below.

As far as the goals go, Parana have scored once or fewer in all bar one of their home matches this term. A total of 10 of their last 11 have seen this selection land, and the same can be said for five of Atletico's seven most recent away fixtures.

Sport to ease relegation fears

Bet 3: Back Sport Recife @ 20/23 - KO 23:45 GMT

We finish with a relegation battle as the 16th placed, Sport Recife, take on Vitoria who are 18th.

A mere two points separates these two teams, and neither have lost many games lately. Sport have taken 10 points from a possible 12 of late, to come back to form at just the right time.

Vitoria put four straight defeats behind them to lose only one of their last five, but three of those were draws and wins have been thin on the ground.

I'm taking home advantage to prove the difference here as the selection have won three on the bounce in front of their own fans, while the visitors have fallen to defeats in seven of their last 10 on their travels.

Daily Acca 2018/19 P/L

Wagered: 136pts
Returned: 91.50pts
P/L: -44.50pts

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