The Daily Acca: Arsenal to make a Wembley return

Paul Robinson
24 January 2018

Can Mesut Ozil inspire Arsenal?

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Wednesday's edition of the Daily Acca is a 24/1 shot that takes in action from Italy, England and France. Here are Paul Robinson's selections:

- Back Sampdoria @ 5/2
- Back Arsenal @ 9/5
- Back Over 3.5 Goals in Monaco v Lyon @ 6/4

The Acca pays approximately 24/1

Bet 1: Back Sampdoria @ 5/2 - KO 19:45 GMT

It's sixth versus fifth in Serie A this evening and I think home advantage could prove the key when Sampdoria host Roma.

Marco Giampaolo's side are enjoying a fine campaign but they still trail Roma by seven points, so a victory here would close that gap to a manageable number.

The Genoa based club won their first six home matches of the season - including a 3-2 success over Juventus - and while they then had a wobble with back to back defeats, they have since gone on to beat SPAL and Fiorentina - both by more than a one goal margin.

Roma looked like winning their first match in four on Sunday, but they conceded a late equaliser at Inter. That means that their last victory was back in mid-December, and they have been struggling to score goals.

As the hosts are free-scoring in front of their own fans, I think that they are value to outgun their opponents tonight.

Bet 2: Back Arsenal @ 9/5 - KO 20:00 GMT

This is the second leg of their EFL Cup semi-final tie, where the winners will go on to meet Man City in the final in February. The first leg finished 0-0 a fortnight ago, but I expect a different game here and Arsenal seem to be a generous price to get the job done inside of 90 minutes.

The Gunners were sublime in the opening 25 minutes against Crystal Palace on Saturday and there wasn't an Alexis Sanchez in sight. On a going day they are a joy to behold and I would be surprised if Arsene Wenger played a weakened line-up for this clash.

Chelsea also scored four times at the weekend as they beat Brighton 4-0, but prior to that they had drawn five matches on the bounce. They have real problems in the striker position and if Arsenal can get a couple of goals, I can't see anyway back for Antonio Conte's men.

Bet 3: Back Over 3.5 Goals in Moncao v Lyon @ 6/4 - KO 20:05 GMT

We conclude in France for a Cup match between Monaco and Lyon that promises to be a high-scoring affair.

It's still quite early in the competition for a fixture between two big names like this as the victors will only be through to the last 16.

The pair of them have been scoring goals for fun in Ligue One, and their matches are both averaging 3.32 goals each time.

Monaco have had 11 off their 22 see this selection land, while Lyon have had eight of 22. It's also worth noting three of the host's last five at home have gone over 3.5, while the same can be said for the five of the last 10 of the visitor's away outings.

2017/18 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 142pts
Returned: 154.25pts
P/L: +12.25pts

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