The Daily Acca: Sevilla to edge through in the Copa del Rey

Paul Robinson
11 January 2018

Sevilla haven't quite hit the heights of last season

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It's a Copa del Rey treble for Paul Robinson and followers of the Daily Acca this evening and it pays around the 15/2 mark. Here are his selections:

- Back Under 2.5 Goals in Sevilla v Cadiz @ 6/5
- Back BTTS in Levante v Espanyol @ 11/10
- Back BTTS in Barcelona v Celta Vigo @ 4/5

The Acca pays approximately 15/2

Bet 1: Back Under 2.5 Goals in Sevilla v Cadiz @ 6/5 - KO 18:30 GMT

The hosts have a 2-0 lead going into this second leg so their passage to the next round looks pretty secure.

Cadiz are a second tier side and while they are battling for promotion to the top flight, it's difficult to see them posing too much of a threat to Vincenzo Montella's team.

That being said, I'm not expecting them to take a hammering this evening and odds-against for Under 2.5 Goals seems like a touch of value. Two of Sevilla's last three at home have ended with the ball in the net on two occasions or fewer, and that includes a 0-0 against Levante.

The visitors won't want to take a demoralising thrashing that could derail their promotion push, so I wouldn't imagine that they will chase the game to overturn the 2-0 deficit. It's also worth noting that five of their last seven on the road have gone under 2.5.

Bet 2: BTTS in Levante v Espanyol @ 11/10 - KO 18:30 GMT

Levante hold a 2-1 lead going into this home fixture this evening so they are certainly the warm favourites to progress.

Espanyol are higher than them in La Liga - by two places and five points - so it won't be a walk in the park for the hosts and I fancy goals at both ends.

Juan Muñiz's side were beaten 3-0 at Barcelona on Sunday, but at home, four of their last six have seen this selection land.

The visitors have to chase the game if they want to progress, and while their away record leaves a lot to be desired, they did win their first competitive one of the season last time out.

A final point is that both teams have scored in seven of the last eight meetings between this pair.

Bet 3: Back BTTS in Barcelona v Celta Vigo @ 4/5 - KO 20:30 GMT

Celta Vigo travel to the Nou Camp still in this tie as the first leg finished 1-1 last week, and they score plenty of goals on their travels.

I don't think that there is much doubt that Barcelona will fail to find a goal themselves in this game as we have to go all the way back to April 2017 for their last blank at home and that was against Juventus in the Champions League.

Juan Carlos Unzué's visitors haven't failed to score away from home since May 2017, and 11 of their 12 competitive games since have had goals at both ends - including a 2-2 draw here in December.

2017/18 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 131pts
Returned: 154.25pts
P/L: +23.25pts

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