The Daily Acca: Stoke to lose must-win match

Stoke City manager Paul Lambert
Paul Lambert hasn't been able to make an impact at Stoke
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Paul Robinson and followers of the Daily Acca are starting the week in Germany, France and Italy with a 13/2 shot. Here are his selections:

- Back BTTS in Mainz v Freiburg @ 1/1
- Back Over 2.5 Goals in Brest v Lorient @ 10/11
- Back West Ham @ 1/1

The Acca pays approximately 13/2

Expect goals in Bundesliga relegation clash

Bet 1: Back BTTS in Mainz v Freiburg @ 1/1 - KO 19:30 BST

The two automatic relegation positions in the Bundesliga look very likely to be going to Koln and Hamburg, but there is still the relegation play-off place to fill and that looks set to be a three-way battle between Wolfsburg and the two teams in this match.

Mainz are currently in that unlucky 16th spot as they have 27 points from their 29 outings to date. That's five more than Hamburg behind them - and from a game less - but it's three behind both Freiburg and Wolfsburg.

All of that adds up to the win being absolutely crucial for these two clubs and I'm expecting it to create a sense of urgency from the players. The stats really aren't great for this selection as the pair of them don't score many goals, but this is do or die stuff now, and they are of relatively equal measure.


Lorient to go on the attack at Brest

Bet 2: Back Over 2.5 Goals in Brest v Lorient @ 10/11 - KO 19:45 BST

More goals in our second selection as I'm banking on at least three when Brest take on Lorient in France's Ligue Two.

The visitors are chasing promotion to the top flight and five wins from their last six outings has enabled them to climb to fourth. They need a top three finish though and the gap to third is seven points - but they do have this game in hand.

Brest are in eighth and they could move into sixth with a victory - just two points behind Lorient. The bridge to the top three should be too big for them though and they aren't in the greatest form either with just two wins from their five latest matches - including two defeats.

As far as the goals go, the hosts have had two of their last three at home not only see over 2.5 backers collect, but over 3.5 backers as well. As for Lorient, eight of their last 11 on their travels have ended with the ball in the net on at least three occasions, and they haven't failed to score themselves since a 1-0 loss at Auxerre in September.


Hammers to put another nail in Stoke's coffin

Bet 3: West Ham @ 1/1 - KO 20:00 BST

The arrival of Paul Lambert to Stoke hasn't worked as the owners would have liked as they sit second from bottom, with just one league win since the Scotsman was appointed.

The Potters are half a dozen points from safety and they come into the game having lost four on the bounce. They absolutely have to win tonight if they are to have any chance of survival as their goal difference is also dreadful.

Unfortunately for Stoke fans I just can't see it and West Ham at even money are a very nice price indeed. They put the disastrous 3-0 defeat to Burnley behind them by beating Southampton by the same scoreline in their last home match, and since then they earned a 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge.

Things are far from rosy at the club and David Moyes hasn't won many of the supporters over, but they've only lost one of their last six at the London Stadium, and that run includes victories over West Brom, Watford and the aforementioned Southampton.

2017/18 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 199pts
Returned: 178.73pts
P/L: -20.27pts

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