The Daily Acca: Bournemouth and Spurs can produce a slow burner

Hugo Lloris, Spurs keeper
Hugo Lloris has been as responsible as anyone for plenty of Tottenham clean sheets.
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The Under/Over 2.5 Goals markets play a significant part in Sunday's football acca, as Jamie Pacheco visits the south coast, Portugal, and Italy in search of a winning bet...

"I can’t really see why over 2.5 goals is such a strong favourite here. Tottenham have kept clean sheets in four of their past five Premier League games and all of those four ended under 2.5 goals, suggesting that their solid back-four is more than capable of keeping Premier League attacks at bay while their attack gets them over the line but doesn’t exactly blow teams apart."

Bet 1: Back under 2.5 goals in Bournemouth v Tottenham @ 29/20

Tottenham need to put the disappointment of that 2-1 loss to Juventus in midweek behind them as soon as possible and just focus on finishing as high as possible in the league.

What may follow over the next few weeks is that they decide to grind out results rather than playing the pretty football they did around Christmas.

I can't really see why over 2.5 goals is such a strong favourite here. Tottenham have kept clean sheets in four of their past five Premier League games and all of those four ended under 2.5 goals, suggesting that their solid back-four is more than capable of keeping Premier League attacks at bay while their attack gets them over the line but doesn't exactly blow teams apart. Yes, Bournemouth's matches have been more high-scoring of late but the Cherries have generally struggled to score against the better sides in the division.

This one may be a slow-burner with Tottenham doing the bare minimum against a side with a poor record against the best sides in the division. 1-0 or 2-0 are lively runners here and given that the last match between these two when the Cherries were at home ended 0-0, we're more than happy to take such a big price on under 2.5 goals.


Bet 2: Back Porto to win + over 2.5 goals @ 5/6

Porto all but secured the league title when they beat Sporting Lisbon last weekend but this isn't a side to be guilty of complacency. It's been a while since they won the title and it's not in their DNA to score one and defend what they have.

The stats suggest their wins tend to be high scoring. They've won each of their last six league games and all of those had at least three goals in them. The fact that their defence isn't water-tight helps our cause here. They've conceded in four of those wins and that means any sort of 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline would be in line with what's happened over the past few weeks.

Let's hope it pays to go with a Porto win with at least three goals in the game.


Bet 3: Back over 2.5 goals in Cagliari v Lazio @ 5/6

Serie A fans will know that Lazio away matches are the place to go for goals. It's truly remarkable that 92% of their away games this season have had at least three goals. And this from a side who's fresh from drawing 2-2 at home in the Europa League, suggesting the potential for lots of goals isn't limited to Serie A nor is it limited to when they're on the road.

Cagliari are hardly a dull side to follow at home themselves. 53% of their home games have broken the 2.5 goals barrier this campaign and last time out they were caned 5-0 by Napoli.

You'd have to say that when something has happened 92% of the time this season, it's value at 5/6 to happen again.

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