Kev's heading to his native north-west, and he hopes for a lively derby in Greater Manchester.
"Ten of Rochdale's last 12 games have featured three goals or more, and they are up against one of the worst defences in the division."
Bury v Rochdale
Thursday April 13, 19:45
Disappointment in the Basque Country last night, and no glory to bask in. Our boys Getxo fought hard, but fell short in a 2-1 home defeat to Portugalete. We know how they feel.
In dire need of a pick-me-up, we'll seek out some old mates. Rochdale did us proud a couple of weeks ago by producing a few goals, and we'll back them to do the same again tonight. Dale are in derby action, as they make the short trip to face Bury.
Keith Hill's promotion-chasing Dale don't have much margin for error. With four games to go in the League One season, they are six points off the top six, but if they could win all four matches they'd be in with a shout. Bury have other concerns, as they are only a point above the dropzone, and have collected just two points from their last four games.
It's worth noting that Bury have the second-worst defence in the division, having leaked 71 goals in 42 games. They have tightened up a bit of late, with three goalless draws in their last six games, but they were more like their old selves at the end of March, as they were thumped 5-1 at Oxford United. Ten of the Shakers' last 16 games have featured three goals or more.
Ten of Rochdale's last 12 league games have seen an Over 2.5 Goals bet land, and only Scunthorpe and leaders Sheffield United have a better goal tally. Against a defence that has largely struggled all season, you'd expect Rochdale to find some gaps, especially after Keith Hill berated his players for having a losing mentality away from home. The tough-talking boss is expecting a response, and so am I.
Back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.855/6
Points Staked: 52
Points Returned: 41.14
P/L: -10.86 points
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