Bundesliga Correct Score Predictor with Infogol: Tips for every fixture of GW4

Douglas Costa Bayern Munich
Douglas Costa has returned to Bayern Munich after a few years away

Using Expected Goals (xG) data from Infogol, Tom Victor provides Bundesliga result and scoreline predictions as teams return from the international break...

"Hoffenheim's 4-0 win at Signal Iduna Park was one of the standout scorelines on the final day of last season, and Andrej Kramarić will be a danger to the visitors once more."

Leipzig to keep unbeaten start going

Augsburg v RB Leipzig
Saturday, 14:30
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A battle of two unbeaten sides at the WWK Arena, and visitors Leipzig are in good shape to inflict a first defeat of the season on surprise package Augsburg. Infogol's model makes the visitors strong favourites, and if they have any trouble breaking down their opponents they'll be able o call upon the increased attacking flair offered by deadline day loan signing Justin Kluivert.

Back the 1-2 @ 8/19.20

Freiburg to pick up first home win of the new season

Freiburg v Werder Bremen
Saturday, 14:30
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After a 4-0 humbling in Dortmund before the international break, Freiburg have a chance to set things right at home to Werder Bremen. Florian Kohfeldt's side won at Schwarzwald-Stadion last season, but the game could have gone either way, and Infogol anticipates another close contest this time with the hosts pipping a Werder side which looked unconvincing in their win over Arminia Bielefeld last time out.

Back the 2-1 @ 9/110.00

Hertha to rebound from Bayern setback

Hertha Berlin v Stuttgart
Saturday, 14:30
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Hertha's 4-3 defeat at the Allianz Arena in their last game before the break flattered Bruno Labbadia's side, who have looked leaky at the back so far this season. They strengthened on deadline day, though, and Infogol expects them to have the tools to beat a Stuttgart side which has acclimatised relatively well to Bundesliga life.

Back the 2-1 @ 9/110.00

Dortmund to get revenge over Hoffenheim for last season's humbling

Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund
Saturday, 14:30
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Hoffenheim's 4-0 win at Signal Iduna Park was one of the standout scorelines on the final day of last season, and Andrej Kramarić will be a danger to the visitors once more. However, Dortmund's away reverse at Augsburg has been book-ended by two convincing home wins and Lucien Favre's men will be desperate to turn their 50% chance of victory (per Infogol) into a statement victory on the road.

Back the 1-2 @ 9/110.00


Mainz's nightmare start to continue

Mainz v Bayer Leverkusen
Saturday, 14:30
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Not only have Mainz lost all of their games so far, but they've been worryingly open and can have few complaints about the results when looking at the xG of each outing. They welcome a Leverkusen side who, while also winless, have put in some decent displays in earning three draws from three games. Leverkusen's 7-0 cup win against lower-league Eintracht Norderstedt shows there are goals in this team, even if they haven't shown it in the league, and they're 47% to win this one.

Back the 1-2 @ 9/19.80

Bayern to overpower Bielefeld and earn first away points

Arminia Bielefeld v Bayern Munich
Saturday, 17:30
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Bayern suffered a blow in their last away game, falling to a 4-1 defeat against Hoffenheim, but should return to winning ways against last season's 2. Bundesliga champions. Hansi Flick's side have a 76% chance of victory, according to Infogol's model, and can keep up their record of scoring in every single away game since Flick took over nearly a year ago.

Back the 1-3 @ 11.50

Home advantage to help Gladbach inflict more pain on Wolfsburg

Borussia Mönchengladbach v Wolfsburg
Saturday, 19:30
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Borussia Mönchengladbach have kicked into gear after the wake-up call of their opening day defeat in Dortmund, and Marco Rose's team will hope to build on their win in Köln by taking all three points at Borussia-Park on Saturday night. Opponents Wolfsburg have drawn all three league games, but may still be reeling from their last-gasp Europa League elimination in Athens at the end of last month. Infogol anticipates a tight game, but one which will go the way of the hosts.

Back the 2-1 @ 17/29.40

Frankfurt to continue impressive start in Köln

Köln v Eintracht Frankfurt
Sunday, 14:30
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Just four months have passed since these sides played out a 1-1 draw at RheinEnergieStadion, but Frankfurt have adapted better to the new campaign. Infogol makes the visitors narrow favourites to beat a Köln side who can count themselves unfortunate not to have a point so far this season, while Adi Hütter's visitors will surely look to get more mileage out of Bas Dost after fending off reported Tottenham Hotspur interest in the Dutch striker.

Back the 1-3 @ 14.50

Schalke to finally end long losing run

Schalke v Union Berlin
Sunday, 17:00
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Schalke were on a hiding to nothing in Leipzig last time out, falling to a deserved 4-0 defeat in Leipzig, but the return after the international break gives them the perfect opportunity to turn over a new leaf. Their opponents are coming off a 4-0 win of their own, but ending a run of six straight defeats - stretching back to the end of last season - will be the perfect way for new boss Manuel Baum to make his mark at the VELTINS-Arena.

Back the 2-1 @ 17/2


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