Paul Robinson is looking to complete back to back winners and he's in Portugal tonight for the big clash between Braga and Porto as he thinks that there will be at least three goals.
"José Peseiro’s visitors have a higher average at the 2.75 mark, with 14 of their 24 finishing with three or more scored."
Braga v Porto
Sunday March 6, 20:30 GMT
The Portuguese title race saw another twist yesterday as Benfica won at Sporting Lisbon to go two points clear at the top. Porto trail the leaders by five points, but this is a game in hand, so if they can win, they will be right back in the mix.
It won't be easy though as Braga are in fourth and while they are 11 points behind today's opponents, they have an eight point advantage over Rio Ave behind them. They've only lost once at home all season and they come into this match on the back of 14 matches without defeat in all competitions.
It's the goal-side of things we're focusing on here though and with 41 scored and 18 conceded, Braga's fixtures are averaging 2.46 goals each time. While only 10 of their 24 outings have seen this selection land, three of their last four at home saw under 2.5 layers collect.
José Peseiro's visitors have a higher average at the 2.75 mark, with 14 of their 24 finishing with three or more scored. Four of their last five on the road are included in that 14 and with a win almost being an absolute must this evening, they certainly won't be adopting a negative approach.
This has all the makings of a classic, so with under 2.5 goals trading at around the 1.814/5 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Braga v Porto @ 1.814/5
2015/16 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 180 pts
Returned: 186.90 pts
P/L: +6.90 pts