Against All Odds: Boreham Wood to live up to their name

Paul Robinson
16 November 2015

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It's FA Cup action for Paul Robinson this evening as he thinks that there won't be many goals in the first round replay between Boreham Wood and Northwich.

"There were only two goals in the previous match and the hosts have had eight of their last 11 fixtures see this selection returned as a winner."

Lay Over 2.5 goals in Boreham Wood v Northwich @ 1.75/7

Boreham Wood v Northwich
Monday November 16, 19:45 GMT

The original tie between these two finished 1-1 at Wincham Park nine days ago and one would think that Northwich of the Northern Premier League Division One North have blown their chance of progressing to the second round.

That's because Boreham Wood of the National League are a stronger outfit and with home advantage, I wouldn't expect them to be caused too many problems.

The Betfair markets are favouring a high-scoring affair but I'm not as convinced. There were only two goals in the previous match and the hosts have had eight of their last 11 fixtures see this selection returned as a winner.

Their last home game ended 0-0 and while the visitors are running rampant in their league - scoring plenty of goals in the process - that is all against inferior opposition and they didn't look overly threatening when they had home advantage a week last Saturday.

Cup games can be quite hard to predict, but there are reasons to believe that the scorers won't be overly troubled this evening, which is why, at around the 1.75/7 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.

Recommended Bet
Lay Over 2.5 goals in Boreham Wood v Northwich @ 1.75/7

2015/16 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 90 pts
Returned: 88.70 pts
P/L: -1.30 pts

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